Prediction markets indicate a Trump nominee for Federal Reserve Chair on January 20, 2026, is becoming increasingly unlikely. The ‘No’ outcome has surged from 50% to 87.5% over the past week, thoug…
Markets suggest an Altcoin market cap dipping to $150B before 2027 is becoming MORE likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome rising from 58.12% to 59%. This shift follows a week-long downtrend, indicating a …
Markets suggest a Bangladesh Nationalist Party win is becoming LESS likely, with the ‘No’ outcome rising from 21.3% to 24%. This shift follows recent political developments concerning alliance nego…
Markets suggest Israel striking Gaza on January 3, 2026, is becoming LESS likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome declining from 46.5% to 18.5% over the past 7 days. This shift follows a week of bearish sen…
Markets suggest another country recognizing Somaliland is becoming MORE likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome rising from 17.75% to 20.5% in 24 hours. This shift follows related news regarding Israel’s re…
Markets suggest MicroStrategy announcing 800k+ BTC holdings by December 31, 2026, is becoming SLIGHTLY LESS likely, with the ‘No’ outcome rising from approximately 30.9% to 31% in 24 hours. This sl…
Markets suggest Israel striking Iran by June 30, 2026, is becoming LESS likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome falling from 46.5% to 44.5%. This shift follows recent reports of high-level discussions regar…
Markets suggest a meeting between Donald Trump and Elon Musk by December 31 is becoming MORE likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome rising from 8.55% to 10.75% in the last 24 hours.
Markets suggest a Russian strike on Kyiv municipality by December 31 is becoming LESS likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome falling sharply from 51.21% to 8.5% in 24 hours. This dramatic shift follows a s…
Markets suggest Israel striking 2 countries in December 2025 is becoming MORE likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome rising from 0.42% to 3.25% in 24 hours. This shift follows a series of recent reports on…