Markets suggest Bill Clinton being charged by March 31 could be becoming MORE likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome rising from 7% to 11% in 24 hours. This shift follows new reports regarding a House pane…
Markets suggest Phan Văn Giang’s presidency in Vietnam is becoming MORE likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome rising from 23.9% to 24.5%. This shift follows the conclusion of Vietnam’s 14th National Congr…
Markets suggest China joining the Board of Peace is becoming MORE likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome rising from 41.32% to 44.0%. This shift follows mixed signals from global powers and China’s non-com…
Markets suggest a Democratic Party win in the NY-22 House seat is becoming LESS likely, with the ‘No’ outcome (Democratic Party not winning) slightly increasing from approximately 55.44% to 55.5% i…
Prediction markets indicate that Venezuelan crude oil production reaching 1.1m barrels per day in 2026 is becoming significantly LESS likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome plummeting from 52.6% to 42.5% i…
Prediction markets suggest the likelihood of Nancy Pelosi’s stock index outperforming the S&P 500 in January is becoming significantly LESS likely. The ‘Pelosi’ outcome crashed from an implied prob…
Markets suggest a Trump-Putin talk in February is becoming LESS likely, with the ‘No’ outcome rising from 27.0% to 28.5% in 24 hours. This shift follows a week-long trend that had seen the ‘No’ out…
Markets suggest Sentient’s Fully Diluted Valuation (FDV) exceeding $600M one day after launch is becoming LESS likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome falling from 52.95% to 48.5%. This shift follows news o…
Markets suggest Russia’s capture of Zarichne is becoming MORE likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome rising from 95.73% to 96.35%. This shift follows ongoing reports of front-line activity in the broader r…
Prediction markets suggest Bitcoin is becoming significantly LESS likely to reach $100k before Silver reaches $100. The probability for the ‘Bitcoin’ outcome has crashed from 71.5% to 35.5% over th…