Markets suggest John Cornyn coming in 2nd in the 2026 Texas Republican Primary is becoming LESS likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome declining from 63.6% to 58.5%. This shift follows recent news regardin…
Markets suggest Bill Cassidy’s Republican Senate nomination in Louisiana is becoming LESS likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome declining from approximately 38.4% to 36% in the last 24 hours.
Prediction markets suggest the likelihood of Polymarket achieving 80% mindshare is collapsing, with the ‘Yes’ outcome plummeting from 54.5% to 16.5% in just 24 hours. The crash directly correlates …
Markets suggest Republicans losing their House majority before the midterms is becoming MORE likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome rising from 12.3% to 18.5% in 24 hours. This shift follows several recent…
Prediction markets are signaling a dramatically increased likelihood of Becca Good being charged by March 31. The probability of ‘No’ charges has crashed from approximately 81% to 52% in just 24 ho…
Markets suggest Trump capping credit card interest rates is becoming MORE likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome rising from 6.34% to 11.4%. This shift follows recent reports of President Trump signalling …
Markets suggest the occurrence of major global events in 2026 is becoming LESS likely, with the ‘No’ outcome falling from 66.5% to 58.5% in 24 hours. This shift appears to follow a moderation in ge…
Markets suggest Luís Marques Mendes winning 3rd place in the 2026 Portugal presidential election is becoming MORE likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome rising from 9.2% to 15.0%. This shift follows recent…
Prediction markets suggest that January 20 TSA passenger numbers are becoming much MORE likely to exceed 2,300,000. This follows a dramatic reversal where the ‘Yes’ outcome (for numbers being *less…
Markets suggest João Cotrim Figueiredo winning 4th place in the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election is becoming MORE likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome rising from 12.76% to 22%.