Markets suggest Larry Hogan’s victory in the 2026 Maryland Governor Republican primary is becoming LESS likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome falling sharply from 30.6% to 5.6% in 24 hours.
Markets suggest the Fed target funds rate reaching 3.0% by the end of 2026 is becoming LESS likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome declining from 27.29% to 21.5%.
Markets suggest the Republican Party winning the CO-03 House seat is becoming MORE likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome rising from 34.2% to 36.0%. This shift follows a significant reversal from a week-l…
Markets suggest a US strike on Iran is becoming LESS likely, with the ‘US Strikes Iran’ outcome falling from 28.6% to 22.5% in 24 hours. This shift follows reports of the US and Israel weighing str…
Markets suggest a Republican Party win in the IL-17 House seat is becoming LESS likely, with the ‘No’ outcome rising sharply from 50% to 86%. This shift follows recent reports on Illinois GOP fundr…
Markets suggest Trump’s Greenland tariffs going into effect by Feb 1 are becoming MORE likely, with the ‘No’ outcome falling from 64.7% to 59.5%. This shift follows recent aggressive statements fro…
Markets suggest a Trump Fed Chair nominee securing 50 ‘Yea’ votes is becoming MORE likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome rising from 19.6% to 25%.
Markets suggest Russia’s capture of Zarichne is becoming MORE likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome rising from 95.73% to 96.35%. This shift follows ongoing reports of front-line activity in the broader r…
Markets suggest a Trump tariff refund is becoming MORE likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome rising from 19.2% to 24.5% in 24 hours. This shift follows recent reports concerning the administration’s stanc…
Markets suggest Mamdani removing Jessica Tisch is becoming LESS likely, with the ‘No’ outcome rising from 64.58% to 82.5%.
This shift appears to follow related news context, particularly reports hi…