Prediction markets indicate that Venezuelan crude oil production reaching 1.1m barrels per day in 2026 is becoming significantly LESS likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome plummeting from 52.6% to 42.5% i…
Markets suggest the US striking 4 countries in January 2026 is becoming MORE likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome rising from 10.42% to 16.5%. This shift follows a week-long downtrend and occurs despite …
Markets suggest Krum Zarkov’s chances of winning the next Bulgarian presidential election are becoming MORE likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome rising from 2.96% to 17.7% in 24 hours. This shift follows…
Markets suggest Kevin Warsh’s confirmation as Fed Chair and rates staying above 2.5% in 2026 is becoming MORE likely, with the ‘No’ outcome declining from 81.91% to 76.5% in 24 hours.
Markets suggest a January 2026 FOMC decision with no change and less than 2 dissents is becoming MORE likely, with the ‘No’ outcome falling sharply from 56.9% to 51.5% in 24 hours. This shift follo…
Markets suggest a Trump-Xi Jinping meeting in February 2026 is becoming MORE likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome rising from 4.82% to 10.1%. This shift follows recent diplomatic engagements between US a…
Markets suggest the total number of TSA passengers for January 25 being between 1,800,000 and 1,900,000 is becoming MORE likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome rising from 8.0% to 18.7%. This shift follows…
Markets suggest Trump’s approval rating being between 42.0 and 42.4 on January 23, 2026, is becoming LESS likely, with the ‘No’ outcome rising from 62% to 72% in 24 hours.
This shift follows a seri…
Markets suggest a Jeff Colyer victory in the 2026 Kansas Governor Republican primary is becoming LESS likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome declining from 45.08% to 31.5%. This shift follows a ‘BULL_TO_BE…
Markets suggest a Trump-Putin talk in February is becoming LESS likely, with the ‘No’ outcome rising from 27.0% to 28.5% in 24 hours. This shift follows a week-long trend that had seen the ‘No’ out…