Markets suggest a Supreme Court vacancy in 2026 is becoming LESS likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome declining from 54.5% to 45%. This shift follows a related news report about Supreme Court retirements…
Markets suggest Thailand striking Cambodia is becoming MORE likely, with the ‘No’ outcome falling from 91.3% to 81.0% in 24 hours. This shift follows escalating border tensions and accusations of a…
Markets suggest Micah Lasher’s democratic nomination for NY-12 is becoming MORE likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome rising from 33.99% to 48%. This shift follows news of former Rep. Carolyn Maloney cons…
Markets suggest Miguel Díaz-Canel’s exit as President of Cuba is becoming MORE likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome rising from 25.1% to 34.5% in 24 hours. This shift follows significant geopolitical dev…
Markets suggest Trump invoking War Powers against Venezuela is becoming MORE likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome surging from 24.95% to 35.95%. This shift follows confirmed reports of U.S. military acti…
Markets suggest US forces entering Venezuela again by January 10, 2026, is becoming LESS likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome declining from 33.16% to 31.5%.
Markets suggest Ted Dabrowski’s victory in the 2026 Illinois Governor Republican primary is becoming LESS likely, with the ‘No’ outcome rising from 46.8% to 50.5% in 24 hours. This shift follows a …
Markets suggest Tom Malinowski’s nomination for the NJ-11 special election is becoming LESS likely, with the ‘No’ outcome rising from 23.96% to 29.5% in 24 hours. This shift follows fresh news rega…
Markets suggest a Democratic Party win in the NJ-05 House seat is becoming LESS likely, with the ‘No’ outcome rising from 41.3% to 53.5% in 24 hours. This shift appears to follow a significant reve…
Prediction markets are pricing in a near-certainty of a Saudi strike on Yemen, with the probability surging from 57.5% to 93.1% in just 24 hours. This dramatic shift follows reports of a Saudi dele…