Markets suggest António José Seguro winning between 18% and 20% of votes in the first round is becoming MORE likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome rising from 8.6% to 14%. This shift follows new polling d…
Markets suggest a US strike on Cuba by December 31 is becoming significantly MORE likely, with the ‘No’ outcome falling from 85.8% to 80.5% in 24 hours. This sharp move accelerates a pre-existing n…
Markets suggest a U.S. strike on Somalia by January 31 is becoming LESS likely, with the ‘No’ outcome rising from 19.27% to 20% in 24 hours. This subtle shift follows recent reports concerning Al-S…
Markets suggest an Israeli strike on Iran is becoming MORE likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome rising from 27.8% to 53.5%. This shift follows escalating reports of US strategic movements and Iranian war…
Markets suggest a North Korea missile launch by January 31 is becoming LESS likely, with the ‘No’ outcome rising from 57.9% to 58.5%. This shift follows a week-long downtrend for ‘No’ but directly …
Markets suggest a U.S. Congress member leaving office due to Epstein files is becoming MORE likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome rising from 18.5% to 21% in 24 hours. This shift follows increased activit…
Markets suggest Jared Kushner visiting Venezuela by March 31, 2026, is becoming LESS likely, with the ‘No’ outcome rising from approximately 43.44% to 73% in 24 hours. This shift follows a week-lon…
Markets suggest Khamenei’s exit as Supreme Leader by March 31 is becoming LESS likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome declining from 26.9% to 19.5% in 24 hours. This shift follows widespread protests in Ir…
Prediction markets are indicating a significant increase in the perceived likelihood of Donald Trump’s approval rating landing in the narrow 42.0-42.4% range by January 2026. The ‘Yes’ outcome surg…
Markets suggest Jay Feely’s Republican nomination for AZ-05 is becoming MORE likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome rising from 9.20% to 15.65%. This shift follows a significant reversal in sentiment, as t…