Markets suggest Trump’s approval rating landing between 42.0 and 42.4 on January 16, 2026, is becoming LESS likely, with the ‘No’ outcome rising from 51.08% to 61.5% in the last 24 hours. This shar…
Markets suggest Lai Ching-te’s removal from Taiwan’s presidency is becoming MORE likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome rising from 6.6% to 13%.
Markets suggest the Iranian regime fall is becoming LESS likely, with the ‘No’ outcome rising from 64.53% to 73.75%. This shift follows recent reports of potential US military action fears and Iran…
Markets suggest the total number of TSA passengers for January 13 being between 2,100,000 and 2,200,000 is becoming MORE likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome rising from approximately 5.3% to 12.45% in 2…
Prediction markets suggest the PLN party’s chances of winning the second most seats in the 2026 Costa Rican election are decreasing. The ‘No’ outcome rose sharply from 29.00% to 37.50% in 24 hours,…
Markets suggest a US strike on Iran is becoming MORE likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome rising from 23.66% to 25.5%. This shift follows a week-long decline and coincides with fresh reports of intensifi…
Markets suggest a Supreme Court ruling on Trump’s tariffs by January 31 is becoming LESS likely, with the ‘No’ outcome rising from 24.7% to 28.0%.
Markets suggest Trump suing Powell is becoming MORE likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome rising from 19.0% to 24.45%. This shift follows breaking news from Reuters reporting threats of criminal indictmen…
Markets suggest an Israel/US target on an Iranian nuclear facility is becoming LESS likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome falling from 30.9% to 25.5% in 24 hours.
Markets suggest Jerome Powell’s exit from the Fed Board is becoming LESS likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome falling from 82.8% to 73.5%. This shift follows intense news surrounding a criminal investiga…