Markets suggest Israel striking Iran is becoming LESS likely, with the ‘No’ outcome rising from 68.4% to 74.5% in 24 hours.
This shift follows a day of increased geopolitical tensions and related n…
Prediction markets suggest the Clarity Act is becoming significantly LESS likely to be signed into law by 2026, with the ‘No’ outcome surging from ~47% to 62% in the last 24 hours. This sharp decli…
Prediction markets show a sharp reversal in sentiment regarding Trump’s weekly approval rating. After a week of decline, the odds for the ‘Up’ outcome surged from 39.8% to 54.5% in just 24 hours, s…
Markets suggest a charge for doxing the Delta Force commander is becoming LESS likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome falling sharply from 36.79% to 19.5% in 24 hours. This shift follows news of a Congress…
Markets suggest an Israel strike on Yemen is becoming LESS likely, with the ‘No’ outcome rising sharply from 45.94% to 65%. This shift follows a series of reports detailing the significant impact o…
Markets suggest the L.A. U-Haul attack perp being a U.S. Citizen is becoming LESS likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome falling sharply from 83.91% to 67.5% in 24 hours. This shift follows related news co…
Prediction markets are indicating an increased likelihood of a European country providing a formal, binding security guarantee to Ukraine. The probability, represented by the ‘Yes’ outcome, has jum…
Prediction markets suggest Ethan Corson’s chances of winning the 2026 Kansas Democratic gubernatorial primary are becoming significantly less likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome collapsing from 72.1% to…
Markets suggest TSA passengers for January 16 being between 2,100,000 and 2,200,000 is becoming MORE likely, with the ‘No’ outcome falling from 91.44% to 85.5% in 24 hours. This shift appears to fo…
Markets suggest João Cotrim de Figueiredo winning more than 20% of votes in the first round is becoming LESS likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome falling from 18.05% to 15.8% in 24 hours. This sharp shif…