Markets suggest an Iran strike on US military is becoming LESS likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome falling sharply from 44.3% to 26.5% in 24 hours. This shift follows multiple reports hinting at de-esca…
Prediction markets suggest a US strike on Iran by January 31, 2026, is becoming LESS likely, with the ‘No’ outcome (representing a US strike) falling sharply from 69.4% to 57.0% in 24 hours.
Markets suggest Khamenei’s exit from power is becoming LESS likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome falling sharply from 68.8% to 44.5% in 24 hours. This shift follows a series of reports detailing escalati…
Markets suggest an Israel strike on Iran is becoming LESS likely, with the ‘No’ outcome rising from 81.8% to 86% in 24 hours, reversing a slight 7-day decline where ‘No’ fell by 0.43%. This shift f…
Prediction markets show the consensus for a U.S. oil ship seizure has collapsed, with the probability plummeting from 80% to 48.5% in the last seven days. This 31.5-point drop signals a dramatic re…
Markets suggest an Israeli strike on Iran is becoming MORE likely, with the ‘Israel’ outcome rising from 23.51% to 24.5% in 24 hours. This shift follows a week-long downtrend and coincides with esc…
Markets suggest Ukraine striking another tanker in the Black Sea is becoming LESS likely, with the ‘No’ outcome rising from 45.1% to 46%. This shift follows recent reports of drone attacks in the B…
Markets suggest a US cyberattack on Iran is becoming MORE likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome rising from 41.1% to 48.0% in 24 hours. This shift follows a series of recent statements from President Trum…
Markets suggest a Trump-announced drug boat strike by January 17, 2026, is becoming MORE likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome rising from 14.50% to 20.50% in the last 24 hours.
Markets suggest a Colton Moore victory in the GA-14 special election is becoming MORE likely, with the ‘No’ outcome falling sharply from 50.05% to 40.35% in 24 hours. This shift follows the qualifi…