Markets suggest a Glencore and Rio Tinto sale/merger is becoming MORE likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome rising sharply from 40.6% to 66%. This shift follows continued speculation and recent reports fr…
Markets suggest Trump capping credit card interest rates is becoming MORE likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome rising from 6.34% to 11.4%. This shift follows recent reports of President Trump signalling …
Markets suggest the occurrence of major global events in 2026 is becoming LESS likely, with the ‘No’ outcome falling from 66.5% to 58.5% in 24 hours. This shift appears to follow a moderation in ge…
Markets suggest Luís Marques Mendes winning 3rd place in the 2026 Portugal presidential election is becoming MORE likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome rising from 9.2% to 15.0%. This shift follows recent…
Prediction markets suggest that January 20 TSA passenger numbers are becoming much MORE likely to exceed 2,300,000. This follows a dramatic reversal where the ‘Yes’ outcome (for numbers being *less…
Markets suggest João Cotrim Figueiredo winning 4th place in the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election is becoming MORE likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome rising from 12.76% to 22%.
Markets suggest the total number of TSA passengers for January 19 being between 2,100,000 and 2,200,000 is becoming MORE likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome rising from approximately 15.94% to 31% in th…
Markets suggest a Coingecko acquisition in 2026 is becoming LESS likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome falling from 54.9% to 52%. This shift follows public statements from CoinGecko’s co-founder and CEO r…
Markets suggest Variational’s FDV exceeding $800M is becoming MORE likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome rising from 48.9% to 51.5%. This shift follows a significant reversal from a week-long downtrend, p…
Markets suggest Iranian regime survival is becoming LESS likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome falling from 59.0% to 55.5%.
This shift follows a period of heightened tensions and diplomatic efforts to de-…