Markets suggest a U.S. strike on Somalia by January 31 is becoming LESS likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome declining from 87.76% to 82.5%. This shift follows a BULL_TO_BEAR_CRASH pattern and occurs des…
Markets suggest John Cornyn coming in 2nd in the 2026 Texas Republican Primary is becoming LESS likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome declining from 63.6% to 58.5%. This shift follows recent news regardin…
Markets suggest Arc’s token launch is becoming LESS likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome falling sharply from 52.8% to 39.5% in 24 hours. This shift follows a significant market repositioning amidst broa…
Markets suggest Bill Cassidy’s Republican Senate nomination in Louisiana is becoming LESS likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome declining from approximately 38.4% to 36% in the last 24 hours.
Markets suggest Strava’s market cap will be between $7B and $10B at market close on IPO day is becoming MORE likely, with the ‘No’ outcome falling from 87.61% to 81%. This shift follows new reports…
Markets suggest a Hyperliquid listing on Binance in 2026 is becoming MORE likely, with the ‘No’ outcome falling from 54.9% to 49.5% in 24 hours. This shift follows a bull-to-bear crash pattern, rev…
Prediction markets show a sharp increase in the perceived likelihood of an S&P 500 Index daily loss of at least 2% in Q1. The ‘Yes’ outcome surged from 47% to 60% in the last 24 hours, reversing a …
Markets suggest Republicans losing their House majority before the midterms is becoming MORE likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome rising from 12.3% to 18.5% in 24 hours. This shift follows several recent…
Prediction markets suggest a Kraken IPO with a closing market cap above $24B is becoming significantly more likely. The probability of the valuation *not* exceeding $24B (the ‘No’ outcome) crashed …
Markets suggest a Chainlink dip to $10 in January is becoming MORE likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome rising from 23.0% to 31.4%. This shift follows news regarding CME Group’s upcoming Chainlink future…