Markets suggest a turnout in the second round of the 2026 Portuguese presidential election between 52% and 54% is becoming LESS likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome falling from 29.2% to 21.5%. This shif…
Markets suggest Trump deploying active duty troops to Minnesota by Jan 31 is becoming LESS likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome falling from 21.8% to 12.0% in 24 hours. This shift follows recent statemen…
Markets suggest Angie Craig’s Democratic nomination for Senate in Minnesota is becoming LESS likely, with the ‘No’ outcome rising sharply from 43.81% to 73.5% in 24 hours. This shift follows a flur…
Markets suggest a Russian strike on Kyiv municipality on January 31 is becoming MORE likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome rising from 33.37% to 41.5% in 24 hours. This shift follows recent reports of Rus…
Markets suggest a Trump-Greenland deal is becoming LESS likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome declining from 74.1% to 68.5% in 24 hours. This shift follows a period of mixed signals around the ‘deal frame…
Markets suggest an LDP majority in the 2026 Japanese snap election is becoming LESS likely, with the ‘No’ outcome increasing from 46.26% to 52.5% (+6.24%) in 24 hours. This shift follows the sudden…
Markets suggest the total number of TSA passengers for January 23 being between 2,300,000 and 2,400,000 is becoming MORE likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome surging from 24.3% to 53.5%. This shift appea…
Prediction markets are aggressively pricing out the possibility of the DOW Jones reaching 50,000 by January 2026. The probability for the ‘Yes’ outcome has collapsed from 13.5% to just 3.5% in the …
Markets suggest SPD winning the most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections is becoming MORE likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome surging from 1.7% to 39% in 24 hours. This signif…
Markets suggest Burt Jones’s 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary win is becoming MORE likely, with the ‘No’ outcome falling from 37.7% to 33%.