Markets suggest a Trump endorsement for María Corina Machado is becoming LESS likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome falling sharply from 46.9% to 36.5% in 24 hours.
Markets suggest Sam Altman’s exit as OpenAI CEO before 2027 is becoming MORE likely, with the ‘No’ outcome falling sharply from 96.4% to 69.0% in 24 hours. This shift follows related context news r…
Markets suggest Trump dropping the Powell investigation is becoming MORE likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome rising from 25.18% to 30.5%. This shift follows a day of intense news coverage highlighting b…
Markets suggest Israel striking Iran is becoming LESS likely, with the ‘No’ outcome rising from 68.4% to 74.5% in 24 hours.
This shift follows a day of increased geopolitical tensions and related n…
Prediction markets suggest The Clearing Company self-certifying sports event contracts by March 31, 2026, is becoming MORE likely, with the ‘No’ outcome falling from 55.16% to 49.35%. This shift oc…
Prediction markets suggest the Clarity Act is becoming significantly LESS likely to be signed into law by 2026, with the ‘No’ outcome surging from ~47% to 62% in the last 24 hours. This sharp decli…
Markets suggest Zama’s Fully Diluted Valuation (FDV) reaching $1B one day after launch is becoming LESS likely, with the ‘No’ outcome rising sharply from 59.48% to 74.5%.
Markets suggest a ‘Nothing Ever Happens’ outcome for MicroStrategy is becoming MORE likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome rising from 69.7% to 73.5%. This shift follows MicroStrategy’s significant Bitcoin…
Prediction markets show a sharp reversal in sentiment regarding Trump’s weekly approval rating. After a week of decline, the odds for the ‘Up’ outcome surged from 39.8% to 54.5% in just 24 hours, s…
Markets suggest a charge for doxing the Delta Force commander is becoming LESS likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome falling sharply from 36.79% to 19.5% in 24 hours. This shift follows news of a Congress…