Markets suggest an Israel strike on Iran is becoming LESS likely, with the ‘No’ outcome rising from 81.8% to 86% in 24 hours, reversing a slight 7-day decline where ‘No’ fell by 0.43%. This shift f…
Markets suggest a US cyberattack on Iran is becoming MORE likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome rising from 41.1% to 48.0% in 24 hours. This shift follows a series of recent statements from President Trum…
Markets suggest a Trump-announced drug boat strike by January 17, 2026, is becoming MORE likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome rising from 14.50% to 20.50% in the last 24 hours.
Markets suggest a Colton Moore victory in the GA-14 special election is becoming MORE likely, with the ‘No’ outcome falling sharply from 50.05% to 40.35% in 24 hours. This shift follows the qualifi…
Markets suggest a Trump ban on institutional investor single-family home purchases is becoming LESS likely, with the ‘No’ outcome rising from 46.1% to 56% in 24 hours.
Markets suggest a MicroStrategy Bitcoin purchase announcement between January 13-19 is becoming LESS likely, with the ‘No’ outcome rising sharply from 24.08% to 40% in 24 hours. This shift follows …
Markets suggest Mike Pieciak’s primary advancement for Vermont Governor is becoming MORE likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome rising sharply from 37.58% to 48.5% in 24 hours. This shift follows a week-lo…
Markets suggest a Trump-Powell meeting by January 31, 2026, is becoming LESS likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome falling sharply from 28.9% to 17.5% in 24 hours. This shift follows escalating tensions b…
Markets suggest Seeker’s FDV exceeding $100M one day after launch is becoming LESS likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome falling from 81.77% to 72.5%.
Markets suggest a Trump-Greenland deal is becoming MORE likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome rising from 16.8% to 31%. This shift follows a flurry of high-level diplomatic activity and public statements …