Briefing: Polymarket Mindshare Odds Collapse 38 Points as X API Ban Hits Data Provider Kaito

Prediction markets suggest the likelihood of Polymarket achieving 80% mindshare is collapsing, with the ‘Yes’ outcome plummeting from 54.5% to 16.5% in just 24 hours. The crash directly correlates …

Briefing: Market Odds for Ukraine Security Guarantee Surge 27% in 24 Hours, Hinting at Backchanne…

Prediction markets are indicating an increased likelihood of a European country providing a formal, binding security guarantee to Ukraine. The probability, represented by the ‘Yes’ outcome, has jum…

Briefing: Sharp Reversal: António José Seguro’s Portugal Election Odds Flip in 24 Hours

Markets suggest António José Seguro’s victory in the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election in the Lisbon district is becoming MORE likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome rising sharply from …