Markets suggest Florida enacting a redistricting law is becoming LESS likely, with the ‘No’ outcome rising sharply from 58.4% to 68.5% in 24 hours. This shift follows recent news regarding a specia…
Markets suggest Bitcoin hitting $80k first is becoming more likely, with the ’80k’ outcome rising from 33.6% to 38.0% in the last 24 hours. This shift follows a flurry of new Bitcoin price predicti…
Markets suggest an Ethereum all-time high by June 30, 2026, is becoming LESS likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome falling from 31.9% to 26.5%. This shift follows a significant bearish reversal in the las…
Markets suggest the Infinex public sale exceeding $7M is becoming MORE likely, with the ‘No’ outcome falling from 72.29% to 62.5%.
Markets suggest a fall in USD-denominated stablecoin market share below 99% in 2026 is becoming MORE likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome rising from 18.9% to 21.5%. This shift follows renewed legislativ…
Markets suggest a Bhumjaithai Party (BJT) win in the 2026 Thai legislative election is becoming LESS likely, with the ‘No’ outcome rising sharply from 67.8% to 74% in 24 hours. This shift follows r…
Markets suggest an Insurrection Act invocation by March 31 is becoming MORE likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome rising from 17.0% to 29.0%. This shift follows recent news regarding National Guard prepar…
Markets suggest the Space public sale exceeding $14M commitment is becoming LESS likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome falling from 67.63% to 61.5% in 24 hours. This shift follows recent news regarding th…
Prediction markets suggest Alphabet becoming the world’s second-largest company by Jan 31 is now seen as significantly more likely. The probability of this *not* happening (the ‘No’ outcome) has cr…
Markets suggest Israel striking more than one country in January 2026 is becoming LESS likely, with the ‘No’ outcome (implying a strike on >1 country) declining from 62.73% to 54%.