Prediction markets suggest The Clearing Company self-certifying sports event contracts by March 31, 2026, is becoming MORE likely, with the ‘No’ outcome falling from 55.16% to 49.35%. This shift oc…
Prediction markets suggest the Clarity Act is becoming significantly LESS likely to be signed into law by 2026, with the ‘No’ outcome surging from ~47% to 62% in the last 24 hours. This sharp decli…
Markets suggest Zama’s Fully Diluted Valuation (FDV) reaching $1B one day after launch is becoming LESS likely, with the ‘No’ outcome rising sharply from 59.48% to 74.5%.
Markets suggest a ‘Nothing Ever Happens’ outcome for MicroStrategy is becoming MORE likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome rising from 69.7% to 73.5%. This shift follows MicroStrategy’s significant Bitcoin…
Prediction markets show a sharp reversal in sentiment regarding Trump’s weekly approval rating. After a week of decline, the odds for the ‘Up’ outcome surged from 39.8% to 54.5% in just 24 hours, s…
Markets suggest a charge for doxing the Delta Force commander is becoming LESS likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome falling sharply from 36.79% to 19.5% in 24 hours. This shift follows news of a Congress…
Markets suggest an Israel strike on Yemen is becoming LESS likely, with the ‘No’ outcome rising sharply from 45.94% to 65%. This shift follows a series of reports detailing the significant impact o…
Markets suggest the L.A. U-Haul attack perp being a U.S. Citizen is becoming LESS likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome falling sharply from 83.91% to 67.5% in 24 hours. This shift follows related news co…
Markets suggest an X stablecoin launch in 2026 is becoming MORE likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome rising from 13.1% to 20% in 24 hours. This shift follows renewed legislative activity around crypto re…
Prediction markets are indicating an increased likelihood of a European country providing a formal, binding security guarantee to Ukraine. The probability, represented by the ‘Yes’ outcome, has jum…