Markets suggest Luís Marques Mendes winning 3rd place in the 2026 Portugal presidential election is becoming MORE likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome rising from 9.2% to 15.0%. This shift follows recent…
Prediction markets suggest that January 20 TSA passenger numbers are becoming much MORE likely to exceed 2,300,000. This follows a dramatic reversal where the ‘Yes’ outcome (for numbers being *less…
Markets suggest João Cotrim Figueiredo winning 4th place in the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election is becoming MORE likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome rising from 12.76% to 22%.
Markets suggest the total number of TSA passengers for January 19 being between 2,100,000 and 2,200,000 is becoming MORE likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome rising from approximately 15.94% to 31% in th…
Markets suggest a Coingecko acquisition in 2026 is becoming LESS likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome falling from 54.9% to 52%. This shift follows public statements from CoinGecko’s co-founder and CEO r…
Markets suggest Variational’s FDV exceeding $800M is becoming MORE likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome rising from 48.9% to 51.5%. This shift follows a significant reversal from a week-long downtrend, p…
Markets suggest Iranian regime survival is becoming LESS likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome falling from 59.0% to 55.5%.
This shift follows a period of heightened tensions and diplomatic efforts to de-…
Markets suggest Kang Sun-woo being in jail by March 31 is becoming MORE likely, with the ‘No’ outcome falling from 70.92% to 60%. This shift follows a BULL_TO_BEAR_CRASH pattern in prediction marke…
Markets suggest Trump invoking War Powers against Iran by March 31, 2026, is becoming LESS likely, with the ‘No’ outcome rising sharply from 33.65% to 42.5% in 24 hours. This shift follows recent g…
Markets suggest a US strike on Iran is becoming LESS likely, with the ‘No’ outcome rising from 29.57% to 65%. This sharp shift follows a series of recent developments suggesting de-escalation of im…