Markets suggest a turnout in the second round of the 2026 Portuguese presidential election between 52% and 54% is becoming LESS likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome falling from 29.2% to 21.5%. This shif…
Markets suggest António José Seguro winning the second round by 10-20% is becoming MORE likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome rising from 3.54% to 10%. This shift follows recent news and political endorse…
Markets suggest a Trump administration release of Epstein-related files is becoming MORE likely, with the ‘No’ outcome falling from 32.3% to 20.5% in 24 hours. This shift appears to follow a signif…
Markets suggest Luís Marques Mendes winning 3rd place in the 2026 Portugal presidential election is becoming MORE likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome rising from 9.2% to 15.0%. This shift follows recent…
Markets suggest João Cotrim Figueiredo winning 4th place in the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election is becoming MORE likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome rising from 12.76% to 22%.
Markets suggest João Cotrim de Figueiredo winning more than 20% of votes in the first round is becoming LESS likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome falling from 18.05% to 15.8% in 24 hours. This sharp shif…
Prediction markets are indicating that Luís Marques Mendes’s position as the favorite in the Portugal Presidential Election is becoming significantly more secure. The probability of him *not* being…
Markets suggest António José Seguro’s victory in the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election in the Lisbon district is becoming MORE likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome rising sharply from …
Markets suggest António José Seguro winning between 18% and 20% of votes in the first round is becoming MORE likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome rising from 8.6% to 14%. This shift follows new polling d…
Markets suggest André Ventura winning between 16% and 18% of votes in the first round is becoming MORE likely, with the ‘No’ outcome falling sharply from 95.03% to 86.00% in 24 hours. This shift fo…