Markets suggest a U.S. strike on Somalia by January 31 is becoming LESS likely, with the ‘No’ outcome rising from 19.27% to 20% in 24 hours. This subtle shift follows recent reports concerning Al-S…
Markets suggest Jared Kushner visiting Venezuela by March 31, 2026, is becoming LESS likely, with the ‘No’ outcome rising from approximately 43.44% to 73% in 24 hours. This shift follows a week-lon…
Prediction markets are indicating a significant increase in the perceived likelihood of Donald Trump’s approval rating landing in the narrow 42.0-42.4% range by January 2026. The ‘Yes’ outcome surg…
Markets suggest Nicolás Maduro being sentenced to 40-60 years in prison is becoming LESS likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome falling sharply from 23.55% to 15.00%. This shift follows the breaking news o…
Markets suggest the release of body-cam footage of Maduro’s capture is becoming MORE likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome rising from 4.51% to 15%. This shift follows a series of news reports detailing M…
Markets suggest Cilia Flores’ release is becoming MORE likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome rising from 28.1% to 34.0% in the last 24 hours. This shift follows recent court appearances by Flores and her …
Markets suggest Trump’s approval rating going up is becoming LESS likely, with the ‘Up’ outcome declining from approximately 84.7% to 76%. This shift follows recent developments concerning Venezuel…
Markets suggest Nicolás Maduro’s release from custody is becoming MORE likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome rising from approximately 13.6% to 14.5% in 24 hours. This shift follows recent news of his cap…
Prediction markets indicate a Trump nominee for Federal Reserve Chair on January 20, 2026, is becoming increasingly unlikely. The ‘No’ outcome has surged from 50% to 87.5% over the past week, thoug…
Markets suggest Donald Trump announcing a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve is becoming MORE likely, with the ‘No’ outcome falling sharply from 20.83% to 11.55% in 24 hours.