Markets suggest a meeting between Trump and Delcy Rodríguez by March 31 is becoming MORE likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome surging from 6.43% to 37%. This shift follows intense recent activity around …
Markets suggest Venezuela giving the US oil by January 31 is becoming LESS likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome falling from 75.0% to 70.0% in 24 hours. This shift follows recent reports of US tanker sei…
Markets suggest an EU/NATO country announcing a peacekeeping force in Ukraine is becoming MORE likely, with the ‘No’ outcome falling from 67.16% to 60.5% in 24 hours. This shift follows recent disc…
Markets suggest Delcy Rodríguez becoming the leader of Venezuela by end of 2026 is becoming LESS likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome falling sharply from 60.3% to 51.5% in 24 hours.
Markets suggest Trump and Machado sharing the Nobel Peace Prize is becoming MORE likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome rising sharply from 45.5% to 61.5% in 24 hours. This shift follows multiple reports o…
Markets suggest a US strike on Mexico by December 31 is becoming MORE likely, with the ‘No’ outcome falling from 54.17% to 48% in 24 hours. This shift follows recent statements from Donald Trump re…
Markets suggest U.S. forces seizing another Venezuela-linked oil ship is becoming MORE likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome rising from 25.8% to 42.5%. This shift follows a series of U.S. actions related…
Markets suggest a Venezuela coup attempt by March 31 is becoming MORE likely, with the ‘No’ outcome falling from 83.3% to 78.0% in 24 hours. This shift follows recent reports hinting at altered US …
Markets suggest Florida enacting a redistricting law is becoming LESS likely, with the ‘No’ outcome rising sharply from 58.4% to 68.5% in 24 hours. This shift follows recent news regarding a specia…
Markets suggest an Insurrection Act invocation by March 31 is becoming MORE likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome rising from 17.0% to 29.0%. This shift follows recent news regarding National Guard prepar…