Markets suggest Trump’s approval rating landing between 42.0 and 42.4 on January 16, 2026, is becoming LESS likely, with the ‘No’ outcome rising from 51.08% to 61.5% in the last 24 hours. This shar…
Markets suggest a US strike on Iran is becoming MORE likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome rising from 23.66% to 25.5%. This shift follows a week-long decline and coincides with fresh reports of intensifi…
Markets suggest a Supreme Court ruling on Trump’s tariffs by January 31 is becoming LESS likely, with the ‘No’ outcome rising from 24.7% to 28.0%.
Markets suggest Trump suing Powell is becoming MORE likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome rising from 19.0% to 24.45%. This shift follows breaking news from Reuters reporting threats of criminal indictmen…
Markets suggest an Israel/US target on an Iranian nuclear facility is becoming LESS likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome falling from 30.9% to 25.5% in 24 hours.
Markets suggest Jerome Powell’s exit from the Fed Board is becoming LESS likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome falling from 82.8% to 73.5%. This shift follows intense news surrounding a criminal investiga…
Markets suggest Khamenei remaining in power is becoming MORE likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome rising from 54.5% to 57.5%. This shift follows intense reports of ongoing protests in Iran and government…
Markets suggest a US strike is becoming MORE likely, with the ‘No’ outcome rising sharply from 50.8% to 77% in 24 hours. This shift follows a series of escalating threats and reports of potential U…
Markets suggest Trump invoking War Powers against Venezuela is becoming MORE likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome rising from 4.03% to 12.00%. This shift follows a flurry of recent news, including legisl…
Markets suggest a Trump visit to Minneapolis-Saint Paul by January 16 is becoming MORE likely, with the ‘No’ outcome falling from 86.01% to 80% in 24 hours.