Markets suggest Trump capping credit card interest rates is becoming MORE likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome rising from 6.34% to 11.4%. This shift follows recent reports of President Trump signalling …
Markets suggest Trump invoking War Powers against Iran by March 31, 2026, is becoming LESS likely, with the ‘No’ outcome rising sharply from 33.65% to 42.5% in 24 hours. This shift follows recent g…
Markets suggest a US strike on Iran is becoming LESS likely, with the ‘No’ outcome rising from 29.57% to 65%. This sharp shift follows a series of recent developments suggesting de-escalation of im…
Markets suggest Trump acquiring Greenland before 2027 (odds hitting 30%) is becoming LESS likely, with the ‘No’ outcome rising from 73.6% to 81.5% in 24 hours. This shift follows increasing geopoli…
Markets suggest a Trump and Machado handshake lasting 2-6 seconds is becoming LESS likely, with the ‘No’ outcome rising sharply from 48.8% to 79.5% in 24 hours. This shift follows fresh reports of …
Markets suggest an Iran strike on US military is becoming LESS likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome falling sharply from 44.3% to 26.5% in 24 hours. This shift follows multiple reports hinting at de-esca…
Markets suggest Khamenei’s exit from power is becoming LESS likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome falling sharply from 68.8% to 44.5% in 24 hours. This shift follows a series of reports detailing escalati…
Prediction markets show the consensus for a U.S. oil ship seizure has collapsed, with the probability plummeting from 80% to 48.5% in the last seven days. This 31.5-point drop signals a dramatic re…
Markets suggest a US cyberattack on Iran is becoming MORE likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome rising from 41.1% to 48.0% in 24 hours. This shift follows a series of recent statements from President Trum…
Markets suggest a Trump-announced drug boat strike by January 17, 2026, is becoming MORE likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome rising from 14.50% to 20.50% in the last 24 hours.