Markets suggest the US striking 4 countries in January 2026 is becoming MORE likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome rising from 10.42% to 16.5%. This shift follows a week-long downtrend and occurs despite …
Markets suggest Kevin Warsh’s confirmation as Fed Chair and rates staying above 2.5% in 2026 is becoming MORE likely, with the ‘No’ outcome declining from 81.91% to 76.5% in 24 hours.
Markets suggest a Trump-Xi Jinping meeting in February 2026 is becoming MORE likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome rising from 4.82% to 10.1%. This shift follows recent diplomatic engagements between US a…
Markets suggest Trump’s approval rating being between 42.0 and 42.4 on January 23, 2026, is becoming LESS likely, with the ‘No’ outcome rising from 62% to 72% in 24 hours.
This shift follows a seri…
Markets suggest a Trump-Putin talk in February is becoming LESS likely, with the ‘No’ outcome rising from 27.0% to 28.5% in 24 hours. This shift follows a week-long trend that had seen the ‘No’ out…
Markets suggest the Fed target funds rate reaching 3.0% by the end of 2026 is becoming LESS likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome declining from 27.29% to 21.5%.
Markets suggest a US strike on Iran is becoming LESS likely, with the ‘US Strikes Iran’ outcome falling from 28.6% to 22.5% in 24 hours. This shift follows reports of the US and Israel weighing str…
Markets suggest Trump’s Greenland tariffs going into effect by Feb 1 are becoming MORE likely, with the ‘No’ outcome falling from 64.7% to 59.5%. This shift follows recent aggressive statements fro…
Markets suggest a Trump Fed Chair nominee securing 50 ‘Yea’ votes is becoming MORE likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome rising from 19.6% to 25%.
Markets suggest a Trump tariff refund is becoming MORE likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome rising from 19.2% to 24.5% in 24 hours. This shift follows recent reports concerning the administration’s stanc…