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Category: Trump

Background: Inside the sharp reversal: Odds flip against US seizure of Venezuela oil ship by Dec 29

Posted on December 27, 2025 by Writer

Prediction markets suggest a significant reduction in the perceived likelihood of U.S. forces seizing a Venezuela-linked oil ship by December 29. The ‘Yes’ outcome for this event has plummeted by 2…

This entry was posted in Geopolitics, Trump, Venezuela, World and tagged Market Shift, Priority: URGENT. Bookmark the permalink.

Briefing: Trump Approval Odds Defy Week-Long Decline with Sudden Reversal

Posted on December 27, 2025 by Writer

Prediction markets suggest a sudden shift in sentiment regarding Donald Trump’s approval rating this week, with the ‘Up’ outcome experiencing a significant rebound after a period of decline.

This entry was posted in Approval, Geopolitics, Trump and tagged Market Shift, Priority: URGENT. Bookmark the permalink.

Briefing: Sharp Reversal: Odds on Trump Drug Strike Spike as ‘No’ Crashes 16%

Posted on December 27, 2025 by Writer

Prediction markets show a dramatic reversal on the likelihood of a Trump administration announcement of a new drug boat strike. The price for the ‘No’ outcome crashed by 16% in the last 24 hours, c…

This entry was posted in Geopolitics, Trump, Venezuela and tagged Priority: URGENT, Sentiment Drift. Bookmark the permalink.

Background: Trump announces new drug boat strike by December 31?

Posted on December 27, 2025 by Writer

Prediction markets show a dramatic reversal on the likelihood of a Trump administration announcement of a new drug boat strike. The price for the ‘No’ outcome crashed by 16% in the last 24 hours, c…

This entry was posted in Geopolitics, Trump, Venezuela and tagged Priority: URGENT, Sentiment Drift. Bookmark the permalink.

Briefing: Sharp reversal: US drug boat strike odds flip in 24 hours

Posted on December 26, 2025 by Writer

Prediction markets suggest a significant shift in sentiment regarding the likelihood of zero announced new U.S. armed forces strikes against drug boats in 2025. The ‘Yes’ outcome, which indicates z…

This entry was posted in Geopolitics, Trump, Venezuela and tagged Market Shift, Priority: URGENT. Bookmark the permalink.

Background: Why prediction markets are repricing ‘zero US drug boat strikes’ in 2025

Posted on December 26, 2025 by Writer

Prediction markets suggest a significant shift in sentiment regarding the likelihood of zero announced new U.S. armed forces strikes against drug boats in 2025. The ‘Yes’ outcome, which indicates z…

This entry was posted in Geopolitics, Trump, Venezuela and tagged Market Shift, Priority: URGENT. Bookmark the permalink.

Briefing: Sharp reversal: Trump peace plan odds flip on Zelensky meeting news

Posted on December 26, 2025 by Writer

Prediction markets suggest a significant increase in the perceived likelihood of former President Trump releasing a new Russia-Ukraine peace plan by December 31. The ‘Yes’ outcome has seen a sharp …

This entry was posted in Geopolitics, Trump, Ukraine and tagged Market Shift, Priority: URGENT. Bookmark the permalink.

Background: Inside the sudden surge for a Trump-led Ukraine peace plan

Posted on December 26, 2025 by Writer

Prediction markets suggest a significant increase in the perceived likelihood of former President Trump releasing a new Russia-Ukraine peace plan by December 31. The ‘Yes’ outcome has seen a sharp …

This entry was posted in Geopolitics, Trump, Ukraine and tagged Market Shift, Priority: URGENT. Bookmark the permalink.

Briefing: Betting odds turn against Trump-Israel tariff deal

Posted on December 26, 2025 by Writer

Prediction markets suggest a sharp decline in the perceived likelihood of a tariff agreement between the Trump administration and Israel by December 31, with the ‘Yes’ outcome dropping by over 31% …

This entry was posted in Geopolitics, Trade Deal, Trade War, Trump, World and tagged Market Shift, Priority: URGENT. Bookmark the permalink.

Background: Why prediction markets are repricing Trump-Israel tariff deal

Posted on December 26, 2025 by Writer

Prediction markets suggest a sharp decline in the perceived likelihood of a tariff agreement between the Trump administration and Israel by December 31, with the ‘Yes’ outcome dropping by over 31% …

This entry was posted in Geopolitics, Trade Deal, Trade War, Trump, World and tagged Market Shift, Priority: URGENT. Bookmark the permalink.
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