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Category: Trump

Briefing: Market Odds Plummet for ACA Tax Credit Extension as Deadline Nears

Posted on December 30, 2025 by Writer

Prediction markets suggest an extension of the enhanced ACA tax credits is becoming significantly LESS likely, with the odds against an extension (the ‘No’ outcome) surging from 60.5% to 74% in jus…

This entry was posted in Aca, Congress, Geopolitics, Healthcare, Trump and tagged Priority: URGENT, Sentiment Drift. Bookmark the permalink.

Briefing: Trump-Netanyahu Handshake Odds Near Certainty as ‘No Handshake’ Wagers Collapse

Posted on December 30, 2025 by Writer

Markets suggest a Trump-Netanyahu handshake is becoming a near certainty, with the ‘Yes’ (No Handshake) outcome collapsing from 34% to just 0.05% over the past week. This shift follows recent repor…

This entry was posted in Geopolitics, Israel, Trump, Trump Netanyahu and tagged Market Shift, Priority: URGENT. Bookmark the permalink.

Background: Why Prediction Markets Are Nearing Certainty on Trump-Netanyahu Handshake

Posted on December 30, 2025 by Writer

Markets suggest a Trump-Netanyahu handshake is becoming a near certainty, with the ‘Yes’ (No Handshake) outcome collapsing from 34% to just 0.05% over the past week. This shift follows recent repor…

This entry was posted in Geopolitics, Israel, Trump, Trump Netanyahu and tagged Market Shift, Priority: URGENT. Bookmark the permalink.

Briefing: Sharp Reversal: Trump Epstein File Release Odds Collapse in 24 Hours

Posted on December 30, 2025 by Writer

Markets suggest the Trump administration releasing more Epstein-related files by January 9 is becoming LESS likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome falling sharply from 47.8% to 38.5% in 24 hours.

This entry was posted in Epstein, Geopolitics, Trump and tagged Market Shift, Priority: URGENT. Bookmark the permalink.

Background: Why Prediction Markets Are Repricing the Trump Administration’s Epstein File Release

Posted on December 30, 2025 by Writer

Markets suggest the Trump administration releasing more Epstein-related files by January 9 is becoming LESS likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome falling sharply from 47.8% to 38.5% in 24 hours.

This entry was posted in Epstein, Geopolitics, Trump and tagged Market Shift, Priority: URGENT. Bookmark the permalink.

Briefing: US Anti-Cartel Strike Odds Surge After Trump’s Venezuela Claim

Posted on December 30, 2025 by Writer

Markets suggest a U.S. anti-cartel strike/operation on foreign soil by March 31 is becoming MORE likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome rising from 85.19% to 99.4%. This shift follows recent statements by …

This entry was posted in Drugs, Geopolitics, Mexico, Trump, Venezuela and tagged Market Shift, Priority: URGENT. Bookmark the permalink.

Background: Why Prediction Markets Are Pricing in Near-Certainty for a US Anti-Cartel Strike by Mar…

Posted on December 30, 2025 by Writer

Markets suggest a U.S. anti-cartel strike/operation on foreign soil by March 31 is becoming MORE likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome rising from 85.19% to 99.4%. This shift follows recent statements by …

This entry was posted in Drugs, Geopolitics, Mexico, Trump, Venezuela and tagged Market Shift, Priority: URGENT. Bookmark the permalink.

Briefing: Sharp reversal: Trump tariff dividend odds flip in 24 hours

Posted on December 30, 2025 by Writer

Markets suggest Trump creating a tariff dividend by June 30 is becoming LESS likely, with the ‘No’ outcome rising from 40.48% to 44%. This shift follows a series of recent news reports discussing t…

This entry was posted in Geopolitics, Trump and tagged Market Shift, Priority: URGENT. Bookmark the permalink.

Background: Why prediction markets are repricing Trump’s tariff dividend chances

Posted on December 30, 2025 by Writer

Markets suggest Trump creating a tariff dividend by June 30 is becoming LESS likely, with the ‘No’ outcome rising from 40.48% to 44%. This shift follows a series of recent news reports discussing t…

This entry was posted in Geopolitics, Trump and tagged Market Shift, Priority: URGENT. Bookmark the permalink.

Briefing: Sharp Reversal: Trump’s Somaliland Recognition Odds Flip in 24 Hours

Posted on December 30, 2025 by Writer

Markets suggest Trump recognizing Somaliland before 2027 is becoming LESS likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome falling from approximately 25.1% to 24%. This shift follows reports of global outcry after I…

This entry was posted in Foreign Policy, Geopolitics, Trump, World and tagged Market Shift, Priority: URGENT. Bookmark the permalink.
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