Markets suggest María Corina Machado’s entry into Venezuela by January 31 is becoming LESS likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome falling sharply from 81.2% to 39% in 24 hours. This shift follows significa…
Markets suggest Micah Lasher’s democratic nomination for NY-12 is becoming MORE likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome rising from 33.99% to 48%. This shift follows news of former Rep. Carolyn Maloney cons…
Markets suggest US forces entering Venezuela again by January 10, 2026, is becoming LESS likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome declining from 33.16% to 31.5%.
Markets suggest a Ukraine peace referendum by June 30 is becoming MORE likely, with the ‘No’ outcome falling sharply from 71.7% to 61.5% (-10.2 percentage points) in 24 hours. This shift follows re…
Markets suggest the Republican Party holding exactly 53 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections is becoming LESS likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome falling from 24.2% to 21.5% in 24 hours. This s…
Markets suggest a U.S. strike on Nigeria by January 31, 2026, is becoming MORE likely, with the ‘No’ outcome falling from approximately 62.6% to 53.5%. This shift follows recent news reports detail…
Prediction markets suggest a new US drug boat strike announcement by January 10 is becoming overwhelmingly MORE likely, with the ‘No’ outcome collapsing from 30.5% seven days ago to just 0.05% curr…
Markets suggest a meeting between Donald Trump and Elon Musk by December 31 is becoming MORE likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome rising from 8.55% to 10.75% in the last 24 hours.
Markets suggest Tim Walz resigning by June 30 is becoming LESS likely, with the ‘No’ outcome rising from approximately 83.3% to 89.5%.
Markets suggest Jimmy Kimmel being named in newly released Epstein files is becoming MORE likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome rising from 18.15% to 27.5%.