Markets suggest Khamenei’s removal by February is becoming MORE likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome rising from 10.86% to 12.5% in 24 hours.
This shift follows a significant increase in reports regardin…
Markets suggest Bill Clinton being charged by March 31 could be becoming MORE likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome rising from 7% to 11% in 24 hours. This shift follows new reports regarding a House pane…
Markets suggest the government funding bill passing on January 27, 2026, is becoming MORE likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome rising from 33.35% to 38.5%. This shift follows recent congressional activit…
Markets suggest Trump deploying active duty troops to Minnesota by Jan 31 is becoming LESS likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome falling from 21.8% to 12.0% in 24 hours. This shift follows recent statemen…
Markets suggest a Trump-Greenland deal is becoming LESS likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome declining from 74.1% to 68.5% in 24 hours. This shift follows a period of mixed signals around the ‘deal frame…
Markets suggest the US acquiring part of Greenland by 2026 is becoming LESS likely, with the ‘No’ outcome surging from approximately 62.4% to 76.5% in 24 hours. This shift follows recent diplomatic…
Markets suggest a Trump handshake with Volodymyr Zelenskyy is becoming LESS likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome falling sharply from 42.5% to 17.3%. This shift follows conflicting reports from Davos, wh…
Markets suggest China joining the Board of Peace is becoming MORE likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome rising from 41.32% to 44.0%. This shift follows mixed signals from global powers and China’s non-com…
Markets suggest a U.S. tanker seizure is becoming LESS likely, with the ‘No’ outcome rising from 45.82% to 59%. This shift appears to follow recent reports of multiple U.S. tanker seizures in the C…
Prediction markets indicate that Venezuelan crude oil production reaching 1.1m barrels per day in 2026 is becoming significantly LESS likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome plummeting from 52.6% to 42.5% i…