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Category: Politics

Briefing: Sharp reversal: Odds against Kimbrell surge in SC primary

Posted on December 26, 2025 by Writer

Prediction markets suggest a significant shift in sentiment regarding Josh Kimbrell’s prospects in the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary. The ‘No’ outcome, indicating Kimbrell might n…

This entry was posted in Elections, Geopolitics, Primaries and tagged Market Shift, Priority: URGENT. Bookmark the permalink.

Briefing: Betting odds turn against Trump-Israel tariff deal

Posted on December 26, 2025 by Writer

Prediction markets suggest a sharp decline in the perceived likelihood of a tariff agreement between the Trump administration and Israel by December 31, with the ‘Yes’ outcome dropping by over 31% …

This entry was posted in Geopolitics, Trade Deal, Trade War, Trump, World and tagged Market Shift, Priority: URGENT. Bookmark the permalink.

Background: Why prediction markets are repricing Trump-Israel tariff deal

Posted on December 26, 2025 by Writer

Prediction markets suggest a sharp decline in the perceived likelihood of a tariff agreement between the Trump administration and Israel by December 31, with the ‘Yes’ outcome dropping by over 31% …

This entry was posted in Geopolitics, Trade Deal, Trade War, Trump, World and tagged Market Shift, Priority: URGENT. Bookmark the permalink.

Briefing: Sharp reversal: Trump-Putin talk odds flip in 24 hours

Posted on December 26, 2025 by Writer

Prediction markets suggest a significant increase in the perceived likelihood that Donald Trump could talk to Vladimir Putin in December, following a sharp 31.79% drop in the ‘No’ outcome for such …

This entry was posted in Geopolitics, Trump and tagged Market Shift, Priority: URGENT. Bookmark the permalink.

Background: Breaking down the Trump-Putin talk market movement

Posted on December 26, 2025 by Writer

Prediction markets suggest a significant increase in the perceived likelihood that Donald Trump could talk to Vladimir Putin in December, following a sharp 31.79% drop in the ‘No’ outcome for such …

This entry was posted in Geopolitics, Trump and tagged Market Shift, Priority: URGENT. Bookmark the permalink.

Briefing: Trump’s Approval Rating: Market Defies Week-Long Trend with Sudden Shift

Posted on December 26, 2025 by Writer

Prediction markets suggest a notable shift in sentiment regarding Donald Trump’s approval rating for January 2, 2026. The market for ‘No’ (meaning his approval rating will be 41.0% or higher) exper…

This entry was posted in Approval, Geopolitics, Trump and tagged Market Shift, Priority: URGENT. Bookmark the permalink.

Background: Why Prediction Markets Are Repricing Trump’s 2026 Approval Odds

Posted on December 26, 2025 by Writer

Prediction markets suggest a notable shift in sentiment regarding Donald Trump’s approval rating for January 2, 2026. The market for ‘No’ (meaning his approval rating will be 41.0% or higher) exper…

This entry was posted in Approval, Geopolitics, Trump and tagged Market Shift, Priority: URGENT. Bookmark the permalink.

Briefing: Elon Musk/Joe Rogan odds defy week-long trend with sudden shift

Posted on December 26, 2025 by Writer

Prediction markets suggest a renewed interest in the possibility of Elon Musk appearing on Joe Rogan’s podcast, with ‘Yes’ odds increasing by 5.63% in the last 24 hours to 50%, despite a -3.22% dec…

This entry was posted in Elon Musk, Geopolitics, Pop Culture and tagged Market Shift, Priority: URGENT. Bookmark the permalink.

Background: Will Elon Musk go on Joe Rogan before June 30?

Posted on December 26, 2025 by Writer

Prediction markets suggest a renewed interest in the possibility of Elon Musk appearing on Joe Rogan’s podcast, with ‘Yes’ odds increasing by 5.63% in the last 24 hours to 50%, despite a -3.22% dec…

This entry was posted in Elon Musk, Geopolitics, Pop Culture and tagged Market Shift, Priority: URGENT. Bookmark the permalink.

Briefing: PA-17 House seat defies week-long trend with sudden shift

Posted on December 26, 2025 by Writer

Prediction markets suggest a minor but notable shift regarding the Republican Party’s chances in the PA-17 House seat, with the ‘Yes’ outcome experiencing a slight uptick in the last 24 hours again…

This entry was posted in Elections, Geopolitics, Nov 4 Elections and tagged Priority: URGENT, Sentiment Drift. Bookmark the permalink.
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