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Category: Politics

Briefing: Ukraine Tanker Strike Odds Rebound in Black Sea Market After Steep Fall

Posted on December 30, 2025 by Writer

Markets suggest Ukraine striking another tanker in the Black Sea is becoming MORE likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome increasing from 6.79% to 9%. This shift follows recent reports of tanker incidents i…

This entry was posted in Geopolitics, Putin, Ukraine and tagged Market Shift, Priority: URGENT. Bookmark the permalink.

Background: Why Prediction Markets Are Repricing Ukraine’s Black Sea Tanker Strike Odds

Posted on December 30, 2025 by Writer

Markets suggest Ukraine striking another tanker in the Black Sea is becoming MORE likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome increasing from 6.79% to 9%. This shift follows recent reports of tanker incidents i…

This entry was posted in Geopolitics, Putin, Ukraine and tagged Market Shift, Priority: URGENT. Bookmark the permalink.

Briefing: TSA Passenger Count: Market defies week-long trend, signals higher travel numbers

Posted on December 30, 2025 by Writer

Markets suggest the total number of TSA passengers for December 29 – January 4 being less than 17,500,000 is becoming LESS likely, with the ‘No’ outcome falling sharply from 66.7% to 52.5% in 24 ho…

This entry was posted in Economy, Geopolitics, Pop Culture, Tsa and tagged Market Shift, Priority: URGENT. Bookmark the permalink.

Background: Why Prediction Markets Are Pricing In Record Holiday Travel Amidst Shifting Sentiment

Posted on December 30, 2025 by Writer

Markets suggest the total number of TSA passengers for December 29 – January 4 being less than 17,500,000 is becoming LESS likely, with the ‘No’ outcome falling sharply from 66.7% to 52.5% in 24 ho…

This entry was posted in Economy, Geopolitics, Pop Culture, Tsa and tagged Market Shift, Priority: URGENT. Bookmark the permalink.

Briefing: Zapatero’s Arrest Odds Flip: Market Reacts to New Allegations and PP Pressure

Posted on December 30, 2025 by Writer

Markets suggest José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero’s arrest by March 31 is becoming MORE likely, with the ‘No’ outcome falling from 94.22% to 92.00% in the last 24 hours. This shift follows a series of n…

This entry was posted in Geopolitics, Spain, World and tagged Priority: URGENT, Sentiment Drift. Bookmark the permalink.

Briefing: Sharp reversal: Trump tariff dividend odds flip in 24 hours

Posted on December 30, 2025 by Writer

Markets suggest Trump creating a tariff dividend by June 30 is becoming LESS likely, with the ‘No’ outcome rising from 40.48% to 44%. This shift follows a series of recent news reports discussing t…

This entry was posted in Geopolitics, Trump and tagged Market Shift, Priority: URGENT. Bookmark the permalink.

Background: Why prediction markets are repricing Trump’s tariff dividend chances

Posted on December 30, 2025 by Writer

Markets suggest Trump creating a tariff dividend by June 30 is becoming LESS likely, with the ‘No’ outcome rising from 40.48% to 44%. This shift follows a series of recent news reports discussing t…

This entry was posted in Geopolitics, Trump and tagged Market Shift, Priority: URGENT. Bookmark the permalink.

Briefing: Israel-Iran Tensions Rise: Strike Odds Defy Week-Long Trend with Sudden Shift

Posted on December 30, 2025 by Writer

Markets suggest an Israeli strike on Iran by January 31, 2026, is becoming MORE likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome rising from approximately 12.96% to 13.5% in 24 hours. This shift follows a series of …

This entry was posted in Gaza, Geopolitics, Iran, Israel, Middle East and tagged Priority: URGENT, Sentiment Drift. Bookmark the permalink.

Briefing: Sharp Reversal: Trump’s Somaliland Recognition Odds Flip in 24 Hours

Posted on December 30, 2025 by Writer

Markets suggest Trump recognizing Somaliland before 2027 is becoming LESS likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome falling from approximately 25.1% to 24%. This shift follows reports of global outcry after I…

This entry was posted in Foreign Policy, Geopolitics, Trump, World and tagged Market Shift, Priority: URGENT. Bookmark the permalink.

Background: Why Prediction Markets Are Repricing Trump’s Somaliland Recognition

Posted on December 30, 2025 by Writer

Markets suggest Trump recognizing Somaliland before 2027 is becoming LESS likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome falling from approximately 25.1% to 24%. This shift follows reports of global outcry after I…

This entry was posted in Foreign Policy, Geopolitics, Trump, World and tagged Market Shift, Priority: URGENT. Bookmark the permalink.
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