Markets suggest Han Duck Soo being sentenced to 5-10 years in prison is becoming LESS likely, with the ‘No’ outcome increasing from 75.76% to 86.5% in 24 hours. This shift follows fresh news regard…
Markets suggest Jimmy Kimmel being named in newly released Epstein files is becoming MORE likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome rising from 18.15% to 27.5%.
Markets suggest a Ukrainian strike on Moscow municipality by December 31st is becoming MORE likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome rising from 4.8% to 12.7% in 24 hours. This shift follows recent reports o…
Prediction markets suggest an extension of the enhanced ACA tax credits is becoming significantly LESS likely, with the odds against an extension (the ‘No’ outcome) surging from 60.5% to 74% in jus…
Markets suggest Barack Obama’s attendance at Zohran Mamdani’s swearing-in ceremony is becoming MORE likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome rising from 11.02% to 12.5% in 24 hours.
Prediction markets suggest former presidential candidate Tom Steyer’s chances of advancing from the 2026 California Governor primary are becoming significantly more likely. The ‘No’ outcome, repres…
Markets suggest that *something happening in Israel* is becoming MORE likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome (meaning ‘nothing happens’) falling from approximately 73% to 67% in 24 hours.
Prediction markets suggest the fall of the Iranian regime by June 30 is becoming slightly less likely in the last 24 hours, with the ‘No’ outcome rising from approximately 81.3% to 81.5%. This mino…
Markets suggest a Russian Christmas truce is becoming MORE likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome rising from 4.93% to 8.5% in 24 hours. This shift follows conflicting recent reports and a notable reversal…
Markets suggest a peace deal between Ukraine and Russia by June 30 is becoming LESS likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome declining from 51.9% to 41.5%. This shift follows a series of conflicting reports …