Markets suggest Ali Khamenei’s removal before 2027 is becoming LESS likely, with the ‘No’ outcome jumping sharply from 65.4% to 76.5% in 24 hours.
Prediction markets suggest the probability of Republican odds for the 2026 U.S. House election exceeding 30% by March 31st is becoming MORE likely. This is reflected in the ‘No’ outcome falling fro…
Markets suggest Delcy Rodrígu’s removal from power in Venezuela is becoming MORE likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome rising from 40.6% to 46%. This shift follows the recent capture of Nicolás Maduro and…
Markets suggest Venezuela giving the US oil by January 31 is becoming LESS likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome falling from 75.0% to 70.0% in 24 hours. This shift follows recent reports of US tanker sei…
Markets suggest an EU/NATO country announcing a peacekeeping force in Ukraine is becoming MORE likely, with the ‘No’ outcome falling from 67.16% to 60.5% in 24 hours. This shift follows recent disc…
Markets suggest Delcy Rodríguez becoming the leader of Venezuela by end of 2026 is becoming LESS likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome falling sharply from 60.3% to 51.5% in 24 hours.
Markets suggest a 30-year mortgage rate below 6% by January 31 is becoming MORE likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome rising from 16.2% to 42% in 24 hours. This shift represents a dramatic reversal of a w…
Markets suggest Trump and Machado sharing the Nobel Peace Prize is becoming MORE likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome rising sharply from 45.5% to 61.5% in 24 hours. This shift follows multiple reports o…
Markets suggest Mark Teixeira’s TX-21 Republican nomination is becoming LESS likely, with the ‘No’ outcome rising from 47.8% to 50.5% in the last 24 hours. This shift follows recent news regarding …
Markets suggest BRICS adding a new member in 2026 is becoming MORE likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome rising from 43.8% to 46.5%. This shift follows a significant market reversal from a week-long decline.