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Category: World

Briefing: UK IRGC Designation Odds Flip After Iran’s Canada Move

Posted on December 30, 2025 by Writer

Markets suggest the UK designating the IRGC a terrorist organization is becoming MORE likely, with the ‘No’ outcome falling from approximately 80.34% to 77%. This shift follows Iran’s retaliatory d…

This entry was posted in Geopolitics, World and tagged Priority: URGENT, Sentiment Drift. Bookmark the permalink.

Background: Why Prediction Markets Are Repricing UK’s IRGC Terrorist Designation

Posted on December 30, 2025 by Writer

Markets suggest the UK designating the IRGC a terrorist organization is becoming MORE likely, with the ‘No’ outcome falling from approximately 80.34% to 77%. This shift follows Iran’s retaliatory d…

This entry was posted in Geopolitics, World and tagged Priority: URGENT, Sentiment Drift. Bookmark the permalink.

Briefing: Syria strike odds defy week-long trend with sudden shift

Posted on December 30, 2025 by Writer

Markets suggest a US strike on Syria by December 31 is becoming MORE likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome rising from 0.8% to 3.0% in 24 hours. This shift appears to follow increased US military activity…

This entry was posted in Geopolitics, Middle East, Syria, World and tagged Priority: URGENT, Sentiment Drift. Bookmark the permalink.

Briefing: Zapatero’s Arrest Odds Flip: Market Reacts to New Allegations and PP Pressure

Posted on December 30, 2025 by Writer

Markets suggest José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero’s arrest by March 31 is becoming MORE likely, with the ‘No’ outcome falling from 94.22% to 92.00% in the last 24 hours. This shift follows a series of n…

This entry was posted in Geopolitics, Spain, World and tagged Priority: URGENT, Sentiment Drift. Bookmark the permalink.

Briefing: Sharp Reversal: Trump’s Somaliland Recognition Odds Flip in 24 Hours

Posted on December 30, 2025 by Writer

Markets suggest Trump recognizing Somaliland before 2027 is becoming LESS likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome falling from approximately 25.1% to 24%. This shift follows reports of global outcry after I…

This entry was posted in Foreign Policy, Geopolitics, Trump, World and tagged Market Shift, Priority: URGENT. Bookmark the permalink.

Background: Why Prediction Markets Are Repricing Trump’s Somaliland Recognition

Posted on December 30, 2025 by Writer

Markets suggest Trump recognizing Somaliland before 2027 is becoming LESS likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome falling from approximately 25.1% to 24%. This shift follows reports of global outcry after I…

This entry was posted in Foreign Policy, Geopolitics, Trump, World and tagged Market Shift, Priority: URGENT. Bookmark the permalink.

Briefing: US Strike on Iran: Odds Rebound Sharply, Defying Week-Long Trend

Posted on December 30, 2025 by Writer

Markets suggest a US strike on Iran by June 30, 2026, is becoming MORE likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome rising from 10% to 21% in 24 hours. This shift follows renewed tensions in the Middle East and …

This entry was posted in Geopolitics, Iran, Middle East, World and tagged Market Shift, Priority: URGENT. Bookmark the permalink.

Briefing: Venezuela engagement odds defy week-long trend with sudden shift

Posted on December 30, 2025 by Writer

Prediction markets suggest that no military engagement between the US and Venezuela in 2025 is becoming significantly more likely. The ‘Yes’ outcome, representing ‘no engagement’, jumped from appro…

This entry was posted in Geopolitics, Venezuela, World and tagged Market Shift, Priority: URGENT. Bookmark the permalink.

Background: Why prediction markets are pricing out US-Venezuela military engagement

Posted on December 30, 2025 by Writer

Prediction markets suggest that no military engagement between the US and Venezuela in 2025 is becoming significantly more likely. The ‘Yes’ outcome, representing ‘no engagement’, jumped from appro…

This entry was posted in Geopolitics, Venezuela, World and tagged Market Shift, Priority: URGENT. Bookmark the permalink.

Briefing: Nepali Congress defies week-long trend with sudden shift

Posted on December 30, 2025 by Writer

Markets suggest Nepali Congress winning the most seats is becoming MORE likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome rising from 27.55% to 41%. This shift follows recent reports of a new political unity challeng…

This entry was posted in Elections, Geopolitics, Global Elections, World, World Elections and tagged Market Shift, Priority: URGENT. Bookmark the permalink.
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