Markets suggest US forces entering Venezuela again by January 10, 2026, is becoming LESS likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome declining from 33.16% to 31.5%.
Prediction markets are pricing in a near-certainty of a Saudi strike on Yemen, with the probability surging from 57.5% to 93.1% in just 24 hours. This dramatic shift follows reports of a Saudi dele…
Markets suggest turnout in the first round of the 2026 Costa Rican Presidential Election being less than 55% is becoming LESS likely, with the ‘No’ outcome rising from 82.47% to 87.65%. This shift …
Markets suggest an Israeli strike on Lebanon on January 7, 2026, is becoming LESS likely, with the ‘No’ outcome rising from 58.17% to 65% in 24 hours. This shift follows recent reports of diplomati…
Markets suggest a U.S. strike on Nigeria by January 31, 2026, is becoming MORE likely, with the ‘No’ outcome falling from approximately 62.6% to 53.5%. This shift follows recent news reports detail…
Markets suggest Israel striking Iran by June 30, 2026, is becoming LESS likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome falling from 46.5% to 44.5%. This shift follows recent reports of high-level discussions regar…
Markets suggest that *something happening in Israel* is becoming MORE likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome (meaning ‘nothing happens’) falling from approximately 73% to 67% in 24 hours.
Prediction markets suggest the fall of the Iranian regime by June 30 is becoming slightly less likely in the last 24 hours, with the ‘No’ outcome rising from approximately 81.3% to 81.5%. This mino…
Markets suggest a Russian Christmas truce is becoming MORE likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome rising from 4.93% to 8.5% in 24 hours. This shift follows conflicting recent reports and a notable reversal…
Markets suggest a peace deal between Ukraine and Russia by June 30 is becoming LESS likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome declining from 51.9% to 41.5%. This shift follows a series of conflicting reports …