Prediction markets are indicating that Luís Marques Mendes’s position as the favorite in the Portugal Presidential Election is becoming significantly more secure. The probability of him *not* being…
Markets suggest Ali Khamenei’s removal before 2027 is becoming LESS likely, with the ‘No’ outcome jumping sharply from 65.4% to 76.5% in 24 hours.
Markets suggest Delcy Rodrígu’s removal from power in Venezuela is becoming MORE likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome rising from 40.6% to 46%. This shift follows the recent capture of Nicolás Maduro and…
Markets suggest an EU/NATO country announcing a peacekeeping force in Ukraine is becoming MORE likely, with the ‘No’ outcome falling from 67.16% to 60.5% in 24 hours. This shift follows recent disc…
Markets suggest BRICS adding a new member in 2026 is becoming MORE likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome rising from 43.8% to 46.5%. This shift follows a significant market reversal from a week-long decline.
Markets suggest U.S. forces seizing another Venezuela-linked oil ship is becoming MORE likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome rising from 25.8% to 42.5%. This shift follows a series of U.S. actions related…
Markets suggest RSF’s capture of Dilling is becoming LESS likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome declining from 38.6% to 33.0% in the last 24 hours. This shift follows reports of intensified fighting in th…
Markets suggest António José Seguro’s victory in the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election in the Lisbon district is becoming MORE likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome rising sharply from …
Markets suggest the total number of TSA passengers for January 10, 2026, being greater than 2,200,000 is becoming MORE likely, with the ‘No’ outcome falling sharply from 91.8% to 80.5% in 24 hours….
Prediction markets tracking TSA passenger volume for January 9, 2026, are indicating a significantly higher probability of traffic exceeding 2.2 million. This follows a dramatic surge where the ‘Ye…