Markets suggest a Trump-Greenland deal is becoming MORE likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome rising from 16.8% to 31%. This shift follows a flurry of high-level diplomatic activity and public statements …
Markets suggest a Trump endorsement for María Corina Machado is becoming LESS likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome falling sharply from 46.9% to 36.5% in 24 hours.
Prediction markets suggest Alejandro Reyes’ victory in the 2026 La Paz mayoral election is becoming significantly MORE likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome surging from 22.6% to 41.5% in just 24 hours. T…
Markets suggest an Israel strike on Yemen is becoming LESS likely, with the ‘No’ outcome rising sharply from 45.94% to 65%. This shift follows a series of reports detailing the significant impact o…
Prediction markets are indicating an increased likelihood of a European country providing a formal, binding security guarantee to Ukraine. The probability, represented by the ‘Yes’ outcome, has jum…
Markets suggest TSA passengers for January 16 being between 2,100,000 and 2,200,000 is becoming MORE likely, with the ‘No’ outcome falling from 91.44% to 85.5% in 24 hours. This shift appears to fo…
Markets suggest João Cotrim de Figueiredo winning more than 20% of votes in the first round is becoming LESS likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome falling from 18.05% to 15.8% in 24 hours. This sharp shif…
Markets suggest the Iranian regime fall is becoming LESS likely, with the ‘No’ outcome rising from 64.53% to 73.75%. This shift follows recent reports of potential US military action fears and Iran…
Markets suggest the total number of TSA passengers for January 13 being between 2,100,000 and 2,200,000 is becoming MORE likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome rising from approximately 5.3% to 12.45% in 2…
Prediction markets suggest the PLN party’s chances of winning the second most seats in the 2026 Costa Rican election are decreasing. The ‘No’ outcome rose sharply from 29.00% to 37.50% in 24 hours,…