Markets suggest the total number of TSA passengers for January 26 being less than 2,200,000 is becoming LESS likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome declining from 69.8% to 60%. This shift appears to follow…
Markets suggest a Trump-Greenland deal is becoming LESS likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome declining from 74.1% to 68.5% in 24 hours. This shift follows a period of mixed signals around the ‘deal frame…
Markets suggest an LDP majority in the 2026 Japanese snap election is becoming LESS likely, with the ‘No’ outcome increasing from 46.26% to 52.5% (+6.24%) in 24 hours. This shift follows the sudden…
Markets suggest the total number of TSA passengers for January 23 being between 2,300,000 and 2,400,000 is becoming MORE likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome surging from 24.3% to 53.5%. This shift appea…
Markets suggest SPD winning the most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections is becoming MORE likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome surging from 1.7% to 39% in 24 hours. This signif…
Markets suggest the total number of TSA passengers for January 27 being less than 2,100,000 is becoming LESS likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome falling from 93.6% to 88.5%. This shift follows a strong …
Markets suggest a Trump handshake with Volodymyr Zelenskyy is becoming LESS likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome falling sharply from 42.5% to 17.3%. This shift follows conflicting reports from Davos, wh…
Markets suggest a U.S. tanker seizure is becoming LESS likely, with the ‘No’ outcome rising from 45.82% to 59%. This shift appears to follow recent reports of multiple U.S. tanker seizures in the C…
Markets suggest an Iran strike is becoming MORE likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome falling from 94.69% to 84.5%.
This shift follows a series of escalating reports regarding US military posture and Iran…
Markets suggest the US striking 4 countries in January 2026 is becoming MORE likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome rising from 10.42% to 16.5%. This shift follows a week-long downtrend and occurs despite …