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Category: Venezuela

Briefing: Sharp Reversal: Trump’s Venezuela War Powers Odds Surge After Confirmed Military Action

Posted on January 3, 2026 by Writer

Markets suggest Trump invoking War Powers against Venezuela is becoming MORE likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome surging from 24.95% to 35.95%. This shift follows confirmed reports of U.S. military acti…

This entry was posted in Geopolitics, Venezuela and tagged Breaking Signal, Priority: URGENT. Bookmark the permalink.

Briefing: Markets Price Out Future Intervention Following Maduro’s Capture by US Forces

Posted on January 3, 2026 by Writer

Markets suggest US forces entering Venezuela again by January 10, 2026, is becoming LESS likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome declining from 33.16% to 31.5%.

This entry was posted in Geopolitics, Trump, Trump Presidency, Venezuela, World and tagged Market Shift, Priority: URGENT. Bookmark the permalink.

Briefing: Odds for a US Drug Boat Strike Announcement Surge to Near-Certainty Amid Ongoing Milita…

Posted on January 1, 2026 by Writer

Prediction markets suggest a new US drug boat strike announcement by January 10 is becoming overwhelmingly MORE likely, with the ‘No’ outcome collapsing from 30.5% seven days ago to just 0.05% curr…

This entry was posted in Geopolitics, Trump, Venezuela and tagged Market Shift, Priority: URGENT. Bookmark the permalink.

Background: Why Prediction Markets Are Pricing in Near-Certainty for a US Anti-Cartel Strike by Mar…

Posted on December 30, 2025 by Writer

Markets suggest a U.S. anti-cartel strike/operation on foreign soil by March 31 is becoming MORE likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome rising from 85.19% to 99.4%. This shift follows recent statements by …

This entry was posted in Drugs, Geopolitics, Mexico, Trump, Venezuela and tagged Market Shift, Priority: URGENT. Bookmark the permalink.

Briefing: US Anti-Cartel Strike Odds Surge After Trump’s Venezuela Claim

Posted on December 30, 2025 by Writer

Markets suggest a U.S. anti-cartel strike/operation on foreign soil by March 31 is becoming MORE likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome rising from 85.19% to 99.4%. This shift follows recent statements by …

This entry was posted in Drugs, Geopolitics, Mexico, Trump, Venezuela and tagged Market Shift, Priority: URGENT. Bookmark the permalink.

Briefing: Sharp Reversal: US Drug Boat Strike Odds Flip in 24 Hours

Posted on December 30, 2025 by Writer

Markets suggest three or four announced new U.S. armed forces strikes against drug boats by January 31, 2026, are becoming LESS likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome falling sharply from 32.62% to 20%. Th…

This entry was posted in Geopolitics, Trump, Venezuela and tagged Market Shift, Priority: URGENT. Bookmark the permalink.

Background: Why Prediction Markets Are Repricing US Drug Boat Strike Odds

Posted on December 30, 2025 by Writer

Markets suggest three or four announced new U.S. armed forces strikes against drug boats by January 31, 2026, are becoming LESS likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome falling sharply from 32.62% to 20%. Th…

This entry was posted in Geopolitics, Trump, Venezuela and tagged Market Shift, Priority: URGENT. Bookmark the permalink.

Briefing: Venezuela engagement odds defy week-long trend with sudden shift

Posted on December 30, 2025 by Writer

Prediction markets suggest that no military engagement between the US and Venezuela in 2025 is becoming significantly more likely. The ‘Yes’ outcome, representing ‘no engagement’, jumped from appro…

This entry was posted in Geopolitics, Venezuela, World and tagged Market Shift, Priority: URGENT. Bookmark the permalink.

Background: Why prediction markets are pricing out US-Venezuela military engagement

Posted on December 30, 2025 by Writer

Prediction markets suggest that no military engagement between the US and Venezuela in 2025 is becoming significantly more likely. The ‘Yes’ outcome, representing ‘no engagement’, jumped from appro…

This entry was posted in Geopolitics, Venezuela, World and tagged Market Shift, Priority: URGENT. Bookmark the permalink.

Briefing: Trump’s Venezuela Actions Shift Market: US Oil Ship Seizure Odds Fall

Posted on December 29, 2025 by Writer

Markets suggest U.S. forces seizing another Venezuela-linked oil ship in 2025 is becoming LESS likely, with the ‘No’ outcome rising from 35.8% to 64.1%. This shift follows recent reports of U.S. ac…

This entry was posted in Geopolitics, Trump, Venezuela, World and tagged Breaking Signal, Priority: URGENT. Bookmark the permalink.
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