Markets suggest U.S. forces seizing another Venezuela-linked oil ship is becoming MORE likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome rising from 25.8% to 42.5%. This shift follows a series of U.S. actions related…
Markets suggest a Venezuela coup attempt by March 31 is becoming MORE likely, with the ‘No’ outcome falling from 83.3% to 78.0% in 24 hours. This shift follows recent reports hinting at altered US …
Markets suggest a US strike on Cuba by December 31 is becoming significantly MORE likely, with the ‘No’ outcome falling from 85.8% to 80.5% in 24 hours. This sharp move accelerates a pre-existing n…
Markets suggest Jared Kushner visiting Venezuela by March 31, 2026, is becoming LESS likely, with the ‘No’ outcome rising from approximately 43.44% to 73% in 24 hours. This shift follows a week-lon…
Markets suggest Nicolás Maduro being sentenced to 40-60 years in prison is becoming LESS likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome falling sharply from 23.55% to 15.00%. This shift follows the breaking news o…
Markets suggest a US strike on Venezuela by December 31 is becoming MORE likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome rising from 35% to 51%. This shift follows breaking news of Nicolás Maduro’s capture and aggr…
Markets suggest the release of body-cam footage of Maduro’s capture is becoming MORE likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome rising from 4.51% to 15%. This shift follows a series of news reports detailing M…
Markets suggest Cilia Flores’ release is becoming MORE likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome rising from 28.1% to 34.0% in the last 24 hours. This shift follows recent court appearances by Flores and her …
Markets suggest Nicolás Maduro’s release from custody is becoming MORE likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome rising from approximately 13.6% to 14.5% in 24 hours. This shift follows recent news of his cap…
Markets suggest María Corina Machado’s entry into Venezuela by January 31 is becoming LESS likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome falling sharply from 81.2% to 39% in 24 hours. This shift follows significa…