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Category: Geopolitics

Briefing: Sharp reversal: US drug boat strike odds flip in 24 hours

Posted on December 26, 2025 by Writer

Prediction markets suggest a significant shift in sentiment regarding the likelihood of zero announced new U.S. armed forces strikes against drug boats in 2025. The ‘Yes’ outcome, which indicates z…

This entry was posted in Geopolitics, Trump, Venezuela and tagged Market Shift, Priority: URGENT. Bookmark the permalink.

Background: Why prediction markets are repricing ‘zero US drug boat strikes’ in 2025

Posted on December 26, 2025 by Writer

Prediction markets suggest a significant shift in sentiment regarding the likelihood of zero announced new U.S. armed forces strikes against drug boats in 2025. The ‘Yes’ outcome, which indicates z…

This entry was posted in Geopolitics, Trump, Venezuela and tagged Market Shift, Priority: URGENT. Bookmark the permalink.

Briefing: Sharp Reversal: Kim Jin-tae’s Election Odds Flip in 24 Hours

Posted on December 26, 2025 by Writer

Prediction markets suggest a significant shift against Kim Jin-tae’s chances in the 2026 Gangwon Province gubernatorial election. After a week of modest gains, the ‘Yes’ outcome for his victory saw…

This entry was posted in Elections, Geopolitics, Global Elections, South Korea, World Elections and tagged Market Shift, Priority: URGENT. Bookmark the permalink.

Briefing: Iraq Recognition Odds Flip: Market Defies Week-Long Trend

Posted on December 26, 2025 by Writer

Prediction markets suggest a notable shift in sentiment regarding Iraq’s potential recognition of Israel by June 30, with the ‘Yes’ outcome experiencing a sharp decline over the last 24 hours, defy…

This entry was posted in Geopolitics, Israel, Middle East, Syria, Yemen and tagged Market Shift, Priority: URGENT. Bookmark the permalink.

Background: Why Prediction Markets Are Repricing Iraq’s Recognition of Israel

Posted on December 26, 2025 by Writer

Prediction markets suggest a notable shift in sentiment regarding Iraq’s potential recognition of Israel by June 30, with the ‘Yes’ outcome experiencing a sharp decline over the last 24 hours, defy…

This entry was posted in Geopolitics, Israel, Middle East, Syria, Yemen and tagged Market Shift, Priority: URGENT. Bookmark the permalink.

Briefing: Sharp reversal: Trump peace plan odds flip on Zelensky meeting news

Posted on December 26, 2025 by Writer

Prediction markets suggest a significant increase in the perceived likelihood of former President Trump releasing a new Russia-Ukraine peace plan by December 31. The ‘Yes’ outcome has seen a sharp …

This entry was posted in Geopolitics, Trump, Ukraine and tagged Market Shift, Priority: URGENT. Bookmark the permalink.

Background: Inside the sudden surge for a Trump-led Ukraine peace plan

Posted on December 26, 2025 by Writer

Prediction markets suggest a significant increase in the perceived likelihood of former President Trump releasing a new Russia-Ukraine peace plan by December 31. The ‘Yes’ outcome has seen a sharp …

This entry was posted in Geopolitics, Trump, Ukraine and tagged Market Shift, Priority: URGENT. Bookmark the permalink.

Briefing: Sharp reversal: Odds against Kimbrell surge in SC primary

Posted on December 26, 2025 by Writer

Prediction markets suggest a significant shift in sentiment regarding Josh Kimbrell’s prospects in the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary. The ‘No’ outcome, indicating Kimbrell might n…

This entry was posted in Elections, Geopolitics, Primaries and tagged Market Shift, Priority: URGENT. Bookmark the permalink.

Briefing: Betting odds turn against Trump-Israel tariff deal

Posted on December 26, 2025 by Writer

Prediction markets suggest a sharp decline in the perceived likelihood of a tariff agreement between the Trump administration and Israel by December 31, with the ‘Yes’ outcome dropping by over 31% …

This entry was posted in Geopolitics, Trade Deal, Trade War, Trump, World and tagged Market Shift, Priority: URGENT. Bookmark the permalink.

Background: Why prediction markets are repricing Trump-Israel tariff deal

Posted on December 26, 2025 by Writer

Prediction markets suggest a sharp decline in the perceived likelihood of a tariff agreement between the Trump administration and Israel by December 31, with the ‘Yes’ outcome dropping by over 31% …

This entry was posted in Geopolitics, Trade Deal, Trade War, Trump, World and tagged Market Shift, Priority: URGENT. Bookmark the permalink.
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