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Category: Geopolitics

Background: Why Prediction Markets Are Repricing Schoemann’s Wisconsin Gov Primary Chances

Posted on December 30, 2025 by Writer

Markets suggest Josh Schoemann’s chances of winning the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Republican primary election are becoming LESS likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome dropping from 37.7% to 30.5% in 24 hours…

This entry was posted in Elections, Geopolitics, Primaries and tagged Market Shift, Priority: URGENT. Bookmark the permalink.

Briefing: US Strike on Iran: Odds Rebound Sharply, Defying Week-Long Trend

Posted on December 30, 2025 by Writer

Markets suggest a US strike on Iran by June 30, 2026, is becoming MORE likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome rising from 10% to 21% in 24 hours. This shift follows renewed tensions in the Middle East and …

This entry was posted in Geopolitics, Iran, Middle East, World and tagged Market Shift, Priority: URGENT. Bookmark the permalink.

Briefing: Sharp Reversal: Demings’ Florida Governor Nomination Odds Flip in 24 Hours

Posted on December 30, 2025 by Writer

Markets suggest Jerry Demings’ nomination as the Democratic candidate for Florida Governor is becoming LESS likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome falling sharply from 41.11% to 29.45% in 24 hours.

This entry was posted in Elections, Geopolitics, Primaries and tagged Market Shift, Priority: URGENT. Bookmark the permalink.

Background: Why Prediction Markets Are Repricing Jerry Demings’ Florida Governor Nomination Odds

Posted on December 30, 2025 by Writer

Markets suggest Jerry Demings’ nomination as the Democratic candidate for Florida Governor is becoming LESS likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome falling sharply from 41.11% to 29.45% in 24 hours.

This entry was posted in Elections, Geopolitics, Primaries and tagged Market Shift, Priority: URGENT. Bookmark the permalink.

Briefing: Sharp Reversal: US Drug Boat Strike Odds Flip in 24 Hours

Posted on December 30, 2025 by Writer

Markets suggest three or four announced new U.S. armed forces strikes against drug boats by January 31, 2026, are becoming LESS likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome falling sharply from 32.62% to 20%. Th…

This entry was posted in Geopolitics, Trump, Venezuela and tagged Market Shift, Priority: URGENT. Bookmark the permalink.

Background: Why Prediction Markets Are Repricing US Drug Boat Strike Odds

Posted on December 30, 2025 by Writer

Markets suggest three or four announced new U.S. armed forces strikes against drug boats by January 31, 2026, are becoming LESS likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome falling sharply from 32.62% to 20%. Th…

This entry was posted in Geopolitics, Trump, Venezuela and tagged Market Shift, Priority: URGENT. Bookmark the permalink.

Briefing: Venezuela engagement odds defy week-long trend with sudden shift

Posted on December 30, 2025 by Writer

Prediction markets suggest that no military engagement between the US and Venezuela in 2025 is becoming significantly more likely. The ‘Yes’ outcome, representing ‘no engagement’, jumped from appro…

This entry was posted in Geopolitics, Venezuela, World and tagged Market Shift, Priority: URGENT. Bookmark the permalink.

Background: Why prediction markets are pricing out US-Venezuela military engagement

Posted on December 30, 2025 by Writer

Prediction markets suggest that no military engagement between the US and Venezuela in 2025 is becoming significantly more likely. The ‘Yes’ outcome, representing ‘no engagement’, jumped from appro…

This entry was posted in Geopolitics, Venezuela, World and tagged Market Shift, Priority: URGENT. Bookmark the permalink.

Briefing: Nepali Congress defies week-long trend with sudden shift

Posted on December 30, 2025 by Writer

Markets suggest Nepali Congress winning the most seats is becoming MORE likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome rising from 27.55% to 41%. This shift follows recent reports of a new political unity challeng…

This entry was posted in Elections, Geopolitics, Global Elections, World, World Elections and tagged Market Shift, Priority: URGENT. Bookmark the permalink.

Background: Why prediction markets are repricing Nepali Congress’s election odds

Posted on December 30, 2025 by Writer

Markets suggest Nepali Congress winning the most seats is becoming MORE likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome rising from 27.55% to 41%. This shift follows recent reports of a new political unity challeng…

This entry was posted in Elections, Geopolitics, Global Elections, World, World Elections and tagged Market Shift, Priority: URGENT. Bookmark the permalink.
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