Prediction markets suggest an extension of the enhanced ACA tax credits is becoming significantly LESS likely, with the odds against an extension (the ‘No’ outcome) surging from 60.5% to 74% in jus…
Markets suggest Barack Obama’s attendance at Zohran Mamdani’s swearing-in ceremony is becoming MORE likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome rising from 11.02% to 12.5% in 24 hours.
Prediction markets suggest former presidential candidate Tom Steyer’s chances of advancing from the 2026 California Governor primary are becoming significantly more likely. The ‘No’ outcome, repres…
Markets suggest that *something happening in Israel* is becoming MORE likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome (meaning ‘nothing happens’) falling from approximately 73% to 67% in 24 hours.
Prediction markets suggest the fall of the Iranian regime by June 30 is becoming slightly less likely in the last 24 hours, with the ‘No’ outcome rising from approximately 81.3% to 81.5%. This mino…
Markets suggest a Russian Christmas truce is becoming MORE likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome rising from 4.93% to 8.5% in 24 hours. This shift follows conflicting recent reports and a notable reversal…
Markets suggest a peace deal between Ukraine and Russia by June 30 is becoming LESS likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome declining from 51.9% to 41.5%. This shift follows a series of conflicting reports …
Markets suggest a Mike Lindell victory in the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election is becoming LESS likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome falling from 30.8% to 26.5% in 24 hours. This shift…
Markets suggest a Trump-Netanyahu handshake is becoming a near certainty, with the ‘Yes’ (No Handshake) outcome collapsing from 34% to just 0.05% over the past week. This shift follows recent repor…
Markets suggest a Trump-Netanyahu handshake is becoming a near certainty, with the ‘Yes’ (No Handshake) outcome collapsing from 34% to just 0.05% over the past week. This shift follows recent repor…