Markets suggest an Israeli strike on Lebanon on January 7, 2026, is becoming LESS likely, with the ‘No’ outcome rising from 58.17% to 65% in 24 hours. This shift follows recent reports of diplomati…
Markets suggest a Ukraine peace referendum by June 30 is becoming MORE likely, with the ‘No’ outcome falling sharply from 71.7% to 61.5% (-10.2 percentage points) in 24 hours. This shift follows re…
Markets suggest a Bangladesh Nationalist Party win is becoming LESS likely, with the ‘No’ outcome rising from 21.3% to 24%. This shift follows recent political developments concerning alliance nego…
Markets suggest Israel striking Gaza on January 3, 2026, is becoming LESS likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome declining from 46.5% to 18.5% over the past 7 days. This shift follows a week of bearish sen…
Prediction markets suggest a Democratic victory in the NJ-09 House seat is becoming significantly more likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome surging from 57.2% to 72.5% in just 24 hours. This move acceler…
Markets suggest the Republican Party holding exactly 53 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections is becoming LESS likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome falling from 24.2% to 21.5% in 24 hours. This s…
Markets suggest a U.S. strike on Nigeria by January 31, 2026, is becoming MORE likely, with the ‘No’ outcome falling from approximately 62.6% to 53.5%. This shift follows recent news reports detail…
Prediction markets suggest a new US drug boat strike announcement by January 10 is becoming overwhelmingly MORE likely, with the ‘No’ outcome collapsing from 30.5% seven days ago to just 0.05% curr…
Markets suggest another country recognizing Somaliland is becoming MORE likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome rising from 17.75% to 20.5% in 24 hours. This shift follows related news regarding Israel’s re…
Markets suggest Israel striking Iran by June 30, 2026, is becoming LESS likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome falling from 46.5% to 44.5%. This shift follows recent reports of high-level discussions regar…