Markets suggest Trump invoking War Powers against Venezuela is becoming MORE likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome surging from 24.95% to 35.95%. This shift follows confirmed reports of U.S. military acti…
Markets suggest US forces entering Venezuela again by January 10, 2026, is becoming LESS likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome declining from 33.16% to 31.5%.
Markets suggest Ted Dabrowski’s victory in the 2026 Illinois Governor Republican primary is becoming LESS likely, with the ‘No’ outcome rising from 46.8% to 50.5% in 24 hours. This shift follows a …
Markets suggest Tom Malinowski’s nomination for the NJ-11 special election is becoming LESS likely, with the ‘No’ outcome rising from 23.96% to 29.5% in 24 hours. This shift follows fresh news rega…
Markets suggest a Democratic Party win in the NJ-05 House seat is becoming LESS likely, with the ‘No’ outcome rising from 41.3% to 53.5% in 24 hours. This shift appears to follow a significant reve…
Prediction markets are pricing in a near-certainty of a Saudi strike on Yemen, with the probability surging from 57.5% to 93.1% in just 24 hours. This dramatic shift follows reports of a Saudi dele…
Markets suggest a Labour leadership election scheduled by June 30 is becoming LESS likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome falling sharply from 58.33% to 30%.
Prediction markets are now indicating a significantly higher probability of the Democratic Party winning the NY-03 House seat. This follows a dramatic 24-hour shift where the ‘No’ outcome—predictin…
Markets suggest a Corey Booker Presidential run before 2027 is becoming LESS likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome crashing from 30.61% to 5.55%. This shift follows a period where related news has highlig…
Markets suggest turnout in the first round of the 2026 Costa Rican Presidential Election being less than 55% is becoming LESS likely, with the ‘No’ outcome rising from 82.47% to 87.65%. This shift …