Markets suggest a North Korea missile launch by January 31 is becoming LESS likely, with the ‘No’ outcome rising from 57.9% to 58.5%. This shift follows a week-long downtrend for ‘No’ but directly …
Markets suggest a U.S. Congress member leaving office due to Epstein files is becoming MORE likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome rising from 18.5% to 21% in 24 hours. This shift follows increased activit…
Markets suggest Jared Kushner visiting Venezuela by March 31, 2026, is becoming LESS likely, with the ‘No’ outcome rising from approximately 43.44% to 73% in 24 hours. This shift follows a week-lon…
Markets suggest Khamenei’s exit as Supreme Leader by March 31 is becoming LESS likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome declining from 26.9% to 19.5% in 24 hours. This shift follows widespread protests in Ir…
Prediction markets are indicating a significant increase in the perceived likelihood of Donald Trump’s approval rating landing in the narrow 42.0-42.4% range by January 2026. The ‘Yes’ outcome surg…
Markets suggest Jay Feely’s Republican nomination for AZ-05 is becoming MORE likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome rising from 9.20% to 15.65%. This shift follows a significant reversal in sentiment, as t…
Markets suggest Nicolás Maduro being sentenced to 40-60 years in prison is becoming LESS likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome falling sharply from 23.55% to 15.00%. This shift follows the breaking news o…
Markets suggest a Liberal majority in Canadian Parliament by June 30 is becoming MORE likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome rising from 58.2% to 64.5%. This shift follows recent political developments, in…
Markets suggest André Ventura winning between 16% and 18% of votes in the first round is becoming MORE likely, with the ‘No’ outcome falling sharply from 95.03% to 86.00% in 24 hours. This shift fo…
Markets suggest a US strike on Venezuela by December 31 is becoming MORE likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome rising from 35% to 51%. This shift follows breaking news of Nicolás Maduro’s capture and aggr…