Markets suggest Lori Chavez-DeRemer’s departure from the Trump Cabinet is becoming MORE likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome rising from 14.88% to 18.65% in 24 hours. This shift follows multiple reports …
Markets suggest a US strike on Colombia is becoming MORE likely, with the ‘No’ outcome falling from 89.4% to 83.5%. This shift follows recent reports indicating increased US focus on Colombia amids…
Markets suggest Israel striking Greater Beirut is becoming LESS likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome falling from 64.55% to 58% in 24 hours. This shift follows a period of intense cross-border strikes an…
Markets suggest a CDU win in the 2026 Berlin state elections is becoming MORE likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome rising from 49.1% to 55%. This shift follows a week-long decline and coincides with seve…
Markets suggest US recognizing Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran is becoming LESS likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome falling from 31.9% to 25%.
Markets suggest an ICE shooter being charged by March 31 is becoming MORE likely, with the ‘No’ outcome falling from 73.2% to 67.5%. This shift appears to follow new video evidence and heightened p…
Markets suggest a meeting between Trump and Delcy Rodríguez by March 31 is becoming MORE likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome surging from 6.43% to 37%. This shift follows intense recent activity around …
Prediction markets are indicating that Luís Marques Mendes’s position as the favorite in the Portugal Presidential Election is becoming significantly more secure. The probability of him *not* being…
Markets suggest Ali Khamenei’s removal before 2027 is becoming LESS likely, with the ‘No’ outcome jumping sharply from 65.4% to 76.5% in 24 hours.
Prediction markets suggest the probability of Republican odds for the 2026 U.S. House election exceeding 30% by March 31st is becoming MORE likely. This is reflected in the ‘No’ outcome falling fro…