Prediction markets suggest the PLN party’s chances of winning the second most seats in the 2026 Costa Rican election are decreasing. The ‘No’ outcome rose sharply from 29.00% to 37.50% in 24 hours,…
Markets suggest a US strike on Iran is becoming MORE likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome rising from 23.66% to 25.5%. This shift follows a week-long decline and coincides with fresh reports of intensifi…
Markets suggest a Supreme Court ruling on Trump’s tariffs by January 31 is becoming LESS likely, with the ‘No’ outcome rising from 24.7% to 28.0%.
Markets suggest Trump suing Powell is becoming MORE likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome rising from 19.0% to 24.45%. This shift follows breaking news from Reuters reporting threats of criminal indictmen…
Markets suggest an Israel/US target on an Iranian nuclear facility is becoming LESS likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome falling from 30.9% to 25.5% in 24 hours.
Markets suggest Jerome Powell’s exit from the Fed Board is becoming LESS likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome falling from 82.8% to 73.5%. This shift follows intense news surrounding a criminal investiga…
Markets suggest Khamenei remaining in power is becoming MORE likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome rising from 54.5% to 57.5%. This shift follows intense reports of ongoing protests in Iran and government…
Markets suggest David Hann’s Republican Senate nomination in Minnesota is becoming LESS likely, with the ‘No’ outcome rising from 64.2% to 77%.
Markets suggest Pamela Stevenson’s Democratic Senate nomination in Kentucky is becoming MORE likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome rising from 25.04% to 32.0%.
Markets suggest United Russia gaining the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election is becoming MORE likely, with the ‘No’ outcome falling sharply from 25.9% to 19.5% in 24 hours. This …