Markets suggest an Israel strike on Yemen is becoming LESS likely, with the ‘No’ outcome rising sharply from 45.94% to 65%. This shift follows a series of reports detailing the significant impact o…
Markets suggest the L.A. U-Haul attack perp being a U.S. Citizen is becoming LESS likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome falling sharply from 83.91% to 67.5% in 24 hours. This shift follows related news co…
Prediction markets are indicating an increased likelihood of a European country providing a formal, binding security guarantee to Ukraine. The probability, represented by the ‘Yes’ outcome, has jum…
Prediction markets suggest Ethan Corson’s chances of winning the 2026 Kansas Democratic gubernatorial primary are becoming significantly less likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome collapsing from 72.1% to…
Markets suggest TSA passengers for January 16 being between 2,100,000 and 2,200,000 is becoming MORE likely, with the ‘No’ outcome falling from 91.44% to 85.5% in 24 hours. This shift appears to fo…
Markets suggest João Cotrim de Figueiredo winning more than 20% of votes in the first round is becoming LESS likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome falling from 18.05% to 15.8% in 24 hours. This sharp shif…
Markets suggest Trump’s approval rating landing between 42.0 and 42.4 on January 16, 2026, is becoming LESS likely, with the ‘No’ outcome rising from 51.08% to 61.5% in the last 24 hours. This shar…
Markets suggest Lai Ching-te’s removal from Taiwan’s presidency is becoming MORE likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome rising from 6.6% to 13%.
Markets suggest the Iranian regime fall is becoming LESS likely, with the ‘No’ outcome rising from 64.53% to 73.75%. This shift follows recent reports of potential US military action fears and Iran…
Markets suggest the total number of TSA passengers for January 13 being between 2,100,000 and 2,200,000 is becoming MORE likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome rising from approximately 5.3% to 12.45% in 2…