Markets suggest Madison Cawthorn’s nomination for FL-19 is becoming MORE likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome rising from 41.48% to 41.55% in 24 hours. This minor shift appears to follow recent reports o…
Markets suggest a Trump-Greenland deal is becoming MORE likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome rising from 16.8% to 31%. This shift follows a flurry of high-level diplomatic activity and public statements …
Markets suggest a Trump endorsement for María Corina Machado is becoming LESS likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome falling sharply from 46.9% to 36.5% in 24 hours.
Prediction markets suggest Alejandro Reyes’ victory in the 2026 La Paz mayoral election is becoming significantly MORE likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome surging from 22.6% to 41.5% in just 24 hours. T…
Markets suggest Trump flipping the bird again in 2026 is becoming LESS likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome declining sharply from 86% to 43% over the last 7 days. This significant shift follows the cont…
Markets suggest an Iran-initiated strike on Israel by January 31 is becoming LESS likely, with the ‘No’ outcome rising from 61.9% to 62.5% in the last 24 hours. This shift appears to follow a week-…
Markets suggest Israel striking Iran is becoming LESS likely, with the ‘No’ outcome rising from 68.4% to 74.5% in 24 hours.
This shift follows a day of increased geopolitical tensions and related n…
Prediction markets suggest the Clarity Act is becoming significantly LESS likely to be signed into law by 2026, with the ‘No’ outcome surging from ~47% to 62% in the last 24 hours. This sharp decli…
Prediction markets show a sharp reversal in sentiment regarding Trump’s weekly approval rating. After a week of decline, the odds for the ‘Up’ outcome surged from 39.8% to 54.5% in just 24 hours, s…
Markets suggest a charge for doxing the Delta Force commander is becoming LESS likely, with the ‘Yes’ outcome falling sharply from 36.79% to 19.5% in 24 hours. This shift follows news of a Congress…